by Stephen Fisher.
We’ve had eight Britain wide opinion polls since the election was called. Roughly in order, with the most recent first (and with thanks to Anthony Wells at UKPollingReport.co.uk for the figures and changes since the previous poll) they are:
ICM/ITV, CON 48%(+2), LAB 26%(+1), LDEM 10%(-1), UKIP 8%(nc), GRN 3%(-1)
Norstat/S Express, CON 42%, LAB 26%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 8%, GRN 6%
ComRes/S Mirror, CON 50%(+4), LAB 25%(nc), LDEM 11%(nc), UKIP 7%(-2), GRN 3%(-1)
YouGov/S Times, CON 48%(nc), LAB 25%(+1), LDEM 12%(nc), UKIP 5%(-2)
Survation/Mail on S, CON 40%, LAB 29%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 11%
Opinium/Observer, CON 45%(+7), LAB 26%(-3), LDEM 11%(+4), UKIP 9%(-5)
YouGov/Times, CON 48%(+4), LAB 24%(+1), LDEM 12%(nc), UKIP 7%(-3).
ICM/Guardian, CON 46%, LAB 25%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 8%, GRN 4%
The average of the most recent polls per pollster (the top six above) is
Con 45.5, Lab 26.2, LD 10.8, UKIP 8.0.
The GB…
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