What is the survival rate of new small businesses?

HT: Do nine out of 10 new businesses fail, as Rand Paul claims? – The Washington Post.

For venture capital start-ups, about three or 4 out of 10 fail; three or 4 out of 10 return the original investment, with the rest offering a substantial profit.

Digital ad revenue by company

HT: Time Inc. Has a Big Problem—So Does Digital Journalism – The Atlantic.

This is what is killing the legacy media

HT: Time Inc. Has a Big Problem—So Does Digital Journalism – The Atlantic.

Creative destruction in the smartphone market

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Creative destruction versus the Guardian: A £2-a-month levy on broadband could save our newspapers

ipad and newspapers

A small levy on UK broadband providers – no more than £2 a month on each subscriber’s bill – could be distributed to news providers in proportion to their UK online readership. This would solve the financial problems of quality newspapers, whose readers are not disappearing, but simply migrating online.

via A £2-a-month levy on broadband could save our newspapers | Media | The Guardian.

Did The Guardian just come out in support of a poll tax? Most people have broadband, so it’s the same practical effect?

Ed Glaeser on the need for local government competition

Ed Glaecer are on local government competition

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Actively managed share funds are on the way out

After costs, the return on the average actively managed dollar will be less than the return on the average passively managed dollar for any time period.

—William F. Sharpe, 1990 Nobel Laureate

active versus passive managed funds net inflows

4 out of 5 actively managed fund portfolios underperformed all index fund portfolios in all scenarios tested.

percentage of funds in actively managed fund

expense ratios active and passively managed funds

via The tide is turning as investors switch from high-cost, actively managed funds to index funds for lower costs, higher returns » AEI | Carpe Diem Blog » AEIdeas and Mutual Fund Expenses | Lion’s Share.

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On the need to quantify and take advice from consultants

 - Dilbert by Scott Adams

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Managerial Econ: Top 5 problem-solving mistakes by MBA’s

“Avoid jargon” because most people misuse it. Force yourself to spell out what you mean in simple plain English. It will help your thinking and communication.

“What about the organizational design?” Figure out what is causing the problem, and then think about how to avoid the problem. A lot of papers identified a bad decision, and then suggested reversing it. But they neglected to address the issue of why the bad decision was made, and how to make sure the same mistakes wouldn’t be made in the future.

“Don’t define the problem as the lack of your solution.” For example, if the problem is “the lack of centralized purchasing,” then you are locked into a solution of “centralized purchasing.” Instead, define the problem as “high acquisition cost” and then examine “centralized purchasing” vs. “decentralized purchasing” (or some other alternative) as two solutions to the problem.

“What is the trade-off?” Every solution has costs as well as benefits. If you list only the benefits, it makes your analysis seem like an ex post rationalization of a foregone decision, rather than a careful weighing of the benefits and costs. If you spent some time thinking through the tradeoffs, show it. If not, then you should.

“Which language is this?” I write this when I get gobbledygook written in the passive voice with big words that don’t mean anything. Instead write simple declarative sentences that clarify rather than obfuscate. Form is not a substitute for content.

via Managerial Econ: Top 5 problem-solving mistakes by MBA’s.

Words used in Chinese books illuminate how a nation’s values changed during economic reforms | UCLA

Chinese books

Use of the word “communal” rose sharply during the Cultural Revolution, especially from 1970 to 1976; it decreased during the 1980s. (China launched economic reforms in 1978, and they continue to this day.)

 

The word “autonomy” was used just one-third as frequently as “obedience” in 1970. In 2008, the ratio had flipped and “autonomy” appeared three times as much as “obedience.”

 

The increase in use of words like “choose,” “compete,” “private,” “autonomy” and “innovation” demonstrated a growing prevalence of individualistic values coinciding with sharp rises in urban population, household consumption and education levels.

 

Words reflecting communal values, such as “help” and “sacrifice,” declined in frequency.

via Words used in Chinese books illuminate how a nation’s values changed during economic reforms | UCLA.

George Stigler on objective, disinterested scientific advice

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An ice-cold whisky dispenser, 1950s.

https://twitter.com/Bill5250/status/566752757991079936

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What are the main sources of news?

Main Source for National and International News

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Media bias versus media vigilance

Murray Rothbard – Origins Of Progressive Regulation

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