Supply is elastic, installment #6437

Numerous empirical studies show a relationship between a drug’s expected market size and the magnitude of research and development investments. Early studies focused on changes to market size resulting from the demographics of disease burden (Acemoglu and Linn 2004) and policy changes influencing market demand (Finkelstein 2004). These findings have largely been confirmed by more […]

Supply is elastic, installment #6437

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TweetNicholas Bloom, Kyle Handley, André Kurmann, and Philip A. Luck revisit the “China Shock.” Two slices: Our research investigates the extent to which the opposing trends in manufacturing and services job growth are related. Our findings reveal that local labor markets more exposed to Chinese import competition experienced larger manufacturing job losses. But these losses…

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Trump proposes 100% tariff on movies shot outside the United States

Here is one link.  Of course the proposal is not easy to understand.  If it is a Jason Bourne movie, do they add up the number of scenes shot abroad and consider those as a percentage of the entire movie?  Does one scene shot abroad invoke the entire tariff?  o3 guesstimates that about half of […]

Trump proposes 100% tariff on movies shot outside the United States

Twisted Illogic

TweetHere’s a letter to The Hill. Editor: Pres. Trump said that “China probably will eat those tariffs” (“Trump says China ‘probably will eat those tariffs’,” April 29). So the president believes that the tariffs will be ‘eaten’ by China – meaning, he believes the tariffs won’t result in higher prices in America of Chinese goods.…

Twisted Illogic

Capitalism, Socialism, and Social Desirability Bias

An excerpt from the Introduction of *Unbeatable*

Capitalism, Socialism, and Social Desirability Bias

Can Trump’s Tariff Offensive Deliver New American Jobs?

By Lauren Weber of The WSJ. Excerpts:”Most economists and other experts are skeptical that job creation will happen on a large scale because planning and building new factories is an incredibly complex and lengthy process. Businesses will be reluctant to do that unless they’re sure the investment is worth it over the long term. A fairly…

Can Trump’s Tariff Offensive Deliver New American Jobs?

Smith Reviews Stiglitz

Vernon Smith reviews Joe Stiglitz’s book The Road to Freedom: Stiglitz did work in the abstract intellectual theoretical tradition of neoclassical economics showing how the standard results were changed by asymmetric or imperfect information. He is oblivious, however, to the experimental lab and field empirical research showing that agent knowledge of all such information is […]

Smith Reviews Stiglitz

Long-Run Effects of Trade Wars

This short note shows that accounting for capital adjustment is critical when analyzing the long-run effects of trade wars on real wages and consumption. The reason is that trade wars increase the relative price between investment goods and labor by taxing imported investment goods and their inputs. This price shift depresses capital demand, shrinks the […]

Long-Run Effects of Trade Wars

My debate with Dani Rodrik about tariffs and free trade

This occurred in Knoxville, you can watch it here.  Lots of fun, and p.s. I am more of a free trader than he is.  We did have some disagreements.

My debate with Dani Rodrik about tariffs and free trade

From Refineries to Fiefdoms: Is Newsom Orchestrating a State Takeover of California’s Oil Industry?

California’s refining capacity is collapsing—not because demand has disappeared, but because it is being deliberately dismantled by regulatory fiat. The recent announcement that Valero Energy will idle or shutter its Benicia refinery by 2026 isn’t just a business decision. It’s the calculated result of a hostile policy environment designed to punish traditional energy producers until they either leave the state or fall into government hands.

From Refineries to Fiefdoms: Is Newsom Orchestrating a State Takeover of California’s Oil Industry?

Ronald Reagan in 1982 on Free Trade

TweetWhen President Ronald Reagan delivered this address in November 1982, I was a 24-year-old graduate student. Radically libertarian at that point for almost six years, I was sufficiently astute enough to know that Reagan wasn’t terrible on most of the issues that I cared about, but I was nevertheless insufficiently mature and astute enough to…

Ronald Reagan in 1982 on Free Trade

Victor Davis Hanson Should Stick to the Classics

TweetHere’s a letter to The Daily Signal. Editor: Suppose I submitted to you an essay in which Thucydides is described as a first-century Roman senator who wrote a biography of Charlemagne – would you publish it? Of course not. The ignorance of such an essay would be palpable. But I would never write such a…

Victor Davis Hanson Should Stick to the Classics

Car Leasing Association Wants Govt Support As EV Second Hand Prices Plummet!

Leasing companies have gambled that second hand values for EVs would be as strong as for conventional cars. It is a gamble that could cost them billions.

Car Leasing Association Wants Govt Support As EV Second Hand Prices Plummet!

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TweetBob Graboyes masterfully exposes many of the fallacies that fuel Trump’s destructive trade ‘policy.’ Three slices: In 2016, Donald Trump promised, “We’re gonna win so much that you may get tired of winning.” His advisors must have reached that point, as evidenced by the bizarre, incoherent “Liberation Day” tariff policy they helped craft. Trump supporters have…

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Some Links

TweetTunku Varadarajan’s “Weekend Interview” in the Wall Street Journal is with the great Dartmouth trade economist and economic historian Doug Irwin. Three slices: In effect, Mr. Trump also slapped tariffs on 10005, Wall Street’s ZIP Code, for America’s markets cowered in horror. Dollar assets experienced such a rout that Mr. Trump himself took notice of…

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