The biggest box office "boom" of the last 30 years was made 30 years ago nerdist.com/2015/01/the-bi… feat. @randal_olson http://t.co/KiBrxKcbjO—
Kyle Hill (@Sci_Phile) January 14, 2015
Biggest box office bonanzas by net profit
19 Apr 2015 Leave a comment
in economic history, economics of media and culture, entrepreneurship, industrial organisation, movies, survivor principle Tags: entrepreneurial alertness, Hollywood economics
Creative destruction in the tablet market
19 Apr 2015 Leave a comment
in economic history, entrepreneurship, industrial organisation, survivor principle Tags: creative destruction, market selection, The meaning of competition
Apple is losing the tablet market it created with the iPad read.bi/17zuReH http://t.co/odPeM5iWyX—
BI Tech (@SAI) February 25, 2015
50% more R&D since the 60s, but still no growth dividend?
18 Apr 2015 1 Comment
in applied price theory, economic growth, economics of education, entrepreneurship, history of economic thought, human capital, industrial organisation, macroeconomics, occupational choice, survivor principle Tags: Ben Jones, Chad Jones, creative destruction, endogenous growth theory, innovation, R&D
Spending on intellectual property products has risen in the USA from 1% in 1950 to 5% now. Public R&D spending in the USA has been pretty static for 60 years. Intellectual property products in the chart below includes traditional research and development, spending on computer software, and spending on entertainment such as movies, TV shows, books, and music. Spending on software and entertainment was only recently measured in the US national accounts. This inclusion of intangible capital investments will radically change the story of economic growth and the business cycle in the 20th century.
Source: Chad Jones (2015).
The growth rate in the USA hasn’t changed much despite this massive increase in intellectual property property product production. Is innovation getting harder? R&D is supposed to boost the growth rate, if you are to believe politicians bearing subsidies for it wherever they find it.
Source: Chad Jones (2015).
Ben Jones in The Burden of Knowledge and the Death of the Renaissance Man: Is Innovation Getting Harder? found that as knowledge accumulates as technology advances, successive generations of innovators may face an increasing educational burden. Innovators can compensate through lengthening their time in education and narrowing expertise, but these responses come at the cost of reducing individual innovative capacities. This has implications for the organization of innovative activity – a greater reliance on teamwork – and has negative implications for economic growth.
This longer period of education and initial study is not compensated by inventors innovating for longer spans of their lifestyle. This rising burden of knowledge is cutting into their best years of their lives. Jones found a broad and dramatic declines in early life-cycle productivity among great minds and ordinary inventors, and a close relationship of these trends with increased training duration.
Jones found that the age at first invention, specialisation, and teamwork increased over time in a large micro-data set of inventors. Upward trends in academic collaboration and lengthening doctorates can also be explained in his framework of innovation getting harder because of a rising burden of knowledge. Co-authorship in academic literature has increased, including physics, biology, chemistry, mathematics, psychology, and economics. This measure of teamwork has increased 17% per decade.
Using data on Nobel Prize winners, Jones found that the mean age at which the innovations are produced to win the Prize has increased by 6 years over the 20th Century.
- Before 1901, two-thirds of the Nobel laureates did their prize-winning work before the age of 40 and 20 per cent did it before age of 30.
- By 2000, however, great achievements seldom occurred before the age of 40.
It’s now taking longer for scientists to get their basic training and start their careers. There is simply more to learn because knowledge in all fields has grown by quantum leaps in the past century. Nobels are being handed out for different types of work than a century ago.
- There has been a trend away from awarding prizes for abstract, theoretical ideas.
- Now more honours are being bestowed on people who have made discoveries through painstaking lab work and experimentation – which takes a lot of time to do.
Jones’ theory provides an explanation for why productivity growth rates did not accelerate through the 20th century despite an enormous expansion in collective research effort and levels of education and many more graduates. Innovation is getting harder?
What happened when the robots took all the agricultural jobs?
18 Apr 2015 Leave a comment
in entrepreneurship, industrial organisation, survivor principle Tags: agricultural economics, creative destruction, technological unemployment
around 1910, about a third of all US workers were in agriculture. It's now about 2%. conversableeconomist.blogspot.com/2015/03/snapsh… http://t.co/wUd8tbk0n6—
Catherine Rampell (@crampell) March 09, 2015
Creative destruction in CD sales
17 Apr 2015 Leave a comment
in applied price theory, economic history, economics of media and culture, entrepreneurship, industrial organisation, Music, survivor principle Tags: creative destruction, entrepreneurial alertness
Digital music sales have exceeded those from CDs for the first time: on.wsj.com/1yp37FW http://t.co/LDOdrgGap9—
Wall Street Journal (@WSJ) April 15, 2015
Uber is bringing a new meaning to creative destruction
14 Apr 2015 Leave a comment
in economics of regulation, entrepreneurship, industrial organisation, survivor principle Tags: creative destruction, entrepreneurial alertness, Uber
Uber's astounding rise: onforb.es/1yiZFNp http://t.co/VocIl3EogE—
Forbes Tech News (@ForbesTech) April 10, 2015
Facebook makes most of its money from mobile ads
12 Apr 2015 Leave a comment
in economics of media and culture, entrepreneurship, industrial organisation, survivor principle Tags: advertising, creative destruction, entrepreneurial alertness, Facebook, mobile phones
Saving jobs thwarts the emergence of better paid new jobs
09 Apr 2015 Leave a comment
in applied price theory, applied welfare economics, economic history, industrial organisation, survivor principle Tags: creative destruction, Henry Hazlett, Joseph Schumpeter
Creative destruction in Internet desktop browsers
07 Apr 2015 Leave a comment
in economics of media and culture, entrepreneurship, industrial organisation, survivor principle Tags: creative destruction, entrepreneurial alertness, innovation, markets selection, The meaning of competition
This is why @Microsoft is killing off the Internet Explorer brand: dadaviz.com/i/3622 #dataviz http://t.co/EikfbZFe2N—
Randy Olson (@randal_olson) March 17, 2015
People don’t like to pay for the news
07 Apr 2015 Leave a comment
in economics of media and culture, industrial organisation, survivor principle Tags: legacy media
What if McDonald’s workers were paid $15 per hour
06 Apr 2015 Leave a comment
in industrial organisation, labour economics, labour supply, minimum wage, occupational choice, survivor principle Tags: activists, compensating differentials, do gooders, Leftover Left, living wage
Twitter had a better start on the share market than Facebook
05 Apr 2015 Leave a comment
in economics of media and culture, entrepreneurship, financial economics, industrial organisation, survivor principle Tags: efficient markets hypothesis, Facebook, Twitter
Creative destruction in the US technology sector since 1980
04 Apr 2015 Leave a comment
in entrepreneurship, industrial organisation, survivor principle Tags: creative destruction, entrepreneurial alertness, Joseph Schumpeter
People really forget how awesomely powerful IBM was in the 1980s: @evankirstel http://t.co/TkpuU5sAXg—
Marc Andreessen (@pmarca) April 04, 2015


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