Piketty on inequality: views of the IGM economic experts

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Question: The most powerful force pushing towards greater wealth inequality in the US since the 1970s is the gap between the after-tax return on capital and the economic growth rate?

Daron Acemoglu and James Robinson have a simple explanation for why Piketty is wrong:

But like Marx, Piketty goes wrong for a very simple reason. The quest for general laws of capitalism or any economic system is misguided because it is a-institutional.

It ignores that it is the institutions and the political equilibrium of a society that determine how technology evolves, how markets function, and how the gains from various different economic arrangements are distributed.

Despite his erudition, ambition, and creativity, Marx was ultimately led astray because of his disregard of institutions and politics. The same is true of Piketty.

The reverse gender gap in part-time employment

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics. Data refer to the sole or principal job of full-time and part-time workers.

HT: economix

Discrimination fades away when you compare like with like

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Much-needed gender analysis of median earnings growth since 1947

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Source: Council of Economic Advisors.

Are men just getting their comeuppance for decades of discrimination against women?

Much is made of the stagnation of median earnings over the last few decades. There is no such stagnation for women

The West Wing – Ainsley Hayes on the ERA

The politics of women’s self defence tips

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Thomas Sowell on affirmative action in education

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Why aren’t minority women discriminated against – Thomas Sowell

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Why weren’t never-married women discriminated against – Thomas Sowell

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Capitalism is blinded by one colour – Thomas Sowell

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The politics of ethnicity-based research in New Zealand

When Simon Chapple in 2000 wrote “Māori Socio-Economic Disparity”, which showed that disadvantage in New Zealand is more closely tied to age, marital status, education, skills, and geographic location than it is to ethnicity, broadly conceived, such as Māori ethnicity:

  • He was summoned before the Māori Affairs Committee of parliament to defend his paper! His chief executive at the Ministry of Social Policy went along with him to defend what he wrote while employed as a senior analyst at the Department of Labour. Staff at his new ministry launched a petition to have Simon fired.
  • The head of the Māori Affairs Ministry accused Simon of breaching the public service code of conduct.

Chapple also found that there are important differences in socio economic development by Māori self-identity. Those who identified only as Māori did worse than those that are identified as Māori and another ethnicity. Identifying only as Māori also correlated with living in rural New Zealand.

In terms of employment discrimination, employers would not know whether a Māori job applicant identified as only as Māori or also with another ethnicity, so discrimination is not a good explanation of Māori disadvantage because of this counterfactual. A major driver of Māori disadvantage, which is identifying on the Census form solely as Maori, is simply unknown to discriminating employers as a basis for discrimination in hiring and promotion.

There were editorials in the Dominion Post, which I cannot find online,  and in the New Zealand Herald. The latter said:

The Government is being prodded to recognise that Maori deprivation has more to do with socio-economic factors than ethnicity.

This was the conclusion of a report by the Labour Department’s senior research analyst, Simon Chapple. Helen Clark might well have had that finding partly in mind when she referred to a lot of water having gone under the bridge since the Government first formulated legislation.

Mr Chapple said, in essence, that place of residence, age, education and skills had more to do with poverty than race. In areas such as South Auckland, Northland and the central North Island, there were poor Maori, but there were also poor Pākehā and poor Pasifika.

The Minister attacked him and the paper as well for contradicting the Minister’s claim during the election campaign that everything got worse for Maori in the 1990s.

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Real equivalised median household income rose 47% from 1994 to 2010; for Māori, this rise was 68%; for Pasifika, 77% (Perry July 2014)

See Karen Baehler’s Ethnicity-based research and politics: snapshots from the United States and New Zealand for more information and a comparison with the similar response to Daniel Patrick Moynihan’s The Negro Family: A Case for National Action in 1965.

About a quarter of Negro families are headed by women. The divorce rate is about 2 1/2 times what it is [compared with whites],” Moynihan said. “The number of fatherless children keeps growing. And all these things keep getting worse, not better, over recent years.”

Moynihan, now retired from the United States Senate, was a senior official in LBJ’s Labor Department in 1965. He wrote his report on a typewriter over a few weeks and had the publications office in the basement of the Labor Department print 100 of them, marked “For Official Use Only.”

  • He warned about the breakdown of the African-American family where deprivation and disorganisation had formed their own vicious circle.
  • Many civil rights leaders had labelled Moynihan’s report a subtle form of racism because of its unflattering portrayal of the black family (Wilson 1987).
  • These accusations of racism helped make the breakdown of the family a taboo subject in social policy in the USA

see The Moynihan Report Revisited: Lessons and Reflections after Four Decades for a review by the best and the brightest in American economics and sociology on Daniel Patrick Moynihan’s prophetic warnings. Holzer says, for  example:

Moynihan was extremely insightful and even prescient in arguing that the employment situation of young black men was a “crisis . . . that would only grow worse.”

He understood that these trends involve both limits on labour market opportunities that these young men face as well as skill deficits of and behavioural responses by the young men themselves.

More children are growing-up without a working father living in the home and glean the awareness that work is a central expectation of adult life (Wilson 1987, 1996).

Single-parent households increased from 13 per cent of all Māori households in 1981 to 24.4 per cent in the 2006 Census. In the 2006 Census, 70 per cent of Māori single parent households were on a low income compared to 15 per cent of other Māori one family households (Kiro, Randow and Sporle 2010).

Most of the skill gaps that are present at the age of 18 – skill gaps which substantially explain gaps in adult earnings and employment in all groups – are also present at the age of five (Cunha and Heckman 2007). There is much evidence to show that disadvantaged children have lower levels of soft skills (non-cognitive skills): motivation, persistence, self-discipline, the ability to work with others, the ability to defer gratification and plan ahead, etc. (Heckman 2008). Most of the skills that are acquired at school build on these soft skills that are moulded and reinforced within whānau.

When I started working on labour economics in 2007 I found that the labour economics of Māori was very narrowly written and stayed well clear of the minefield that Simon braved about how ethnicity does not matter that much to Māori social disadvantage.

The gender occupational fatality gap

jobdeaths

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The desired ratio of older and younger workers

The large accumulation of firm and industry-specific human capital of older employees can be more in demand in some jobs than others (Lazear 1998).

The pace of technological change in a particular industry influences the role of different ratios of older and younger employees to the most profitable way to develop human capital within a given firm (Lazear 1998).

Recruitment, on-the-job training, and learning by doing are alternative methods of acquiring and accumulating human capital. The relative profitability of each method of developing and renewing human capital will depend upon whether internal or external sources are the cheaper suppliers of new human capital to the firm.

When technological change is rapid, knowledge of the new technology is often embodied in the formal education and recent job experiences of new entrants into the workforce and younger up-and-coming workers (Lazear 1998).

In industries with more rapid technological progress, the departure of older workers is less of a capital loss to employers. Employers may have fewer incentives to accommodate phased retirements if human capital rich replacements are available. These younger recruits may be embodied with the latest knowledge of new technologies through their formal education and schooling and their previous job experiences.

The amount of skills learnt on the job relative to formal education is important to the desired ratios of older and younger employees.

When on-the-job skills are important to the success of the firm, there is a great need for teachers to pass on these skills. Older experienced employees will be greatly valued as repositories of firm-specific human capital and as teachers to new employees (Lazear 1998).

When formal education acquitted outside the workplace is the more important way in which employees learn their skills, it will be less important for employers to invest in accommodations that retain older employees as teachers.

The extent to which the firm’s operations and customers are more idiosyncratic is important to the ratio of ratio of older and younger employees that is best for human capital accumulation (Lazear 1998).

Again, senior workers are more likely to have this special knowledge and act as teachers to recruits when the firm’s operations and customers are more idiosyncratic relative to other firms (Lazear 1998). Employers will be more reluctant to see older employees quit if they act as teachers to recruits in the ways of the firm.

An employer has less concerned if older employees plans to leave if the firm’s preferred ratio of younger to older employee is not harmed. In some cases, older employees are valued as teachers and repositories of knowledge. In other cases, staff turnover can be an opportunity to inject fresh blood (Lazear 1998). It is all in the operational particulars of each firm, the importance of on-the-job training versus formal education, and the pace of technological change in the industry.

Actual discrimination in the marketplace depends on the combined discrimination of employers, workers, customers, schools and governments – updated

A literature has developed on whether discrimination in the marketplace due to prejudice disappears in the long run. Whether employers who do not want to discriminate will eventually compete away all discriminating employers depends not only on the distribution of tastes for discrimination among potential employers, but critically also on the nature of firm production functions.

Of greater significance empirically is the long run discrimination by employees and customers, who are far more important sources of market discrimination than employers. There is no reason to expect discrimination by these groups to be competed away in the long run unless it is possible to have enough efficient segregated firms and effectively segregated markets for goods.

Gary Becker (1992).

When the disfavoured group had few members, the wage difference between the favoured and disfavoured would be very small or non-existent because they could find employers who had little distaste for working with them. For example, African-Americans suffered more from discrimination than did Jews because blacks constituted a much larger population. Becker explains:

Employee discrimination against minority fellow workers-such as a male worker who does not want to work for a female boss- cannot be so easily competed away by non-discriminating employers. For they have to pay discriminating employees more, perhaps a lot more, to work with minority members. A similar argument applies to consumers who do not want to be served by particular minorities…

Segregation can serve as a way to bypass the prejudices of other workers, consumers, and employers. When Jews could not get work in the banking industry at the turn of 20th century, they began to open their own banks that hired mainly other Jews. African-American doctors and dentists in the old South catered to other blacks as their patients

Competition from more rational firms might gradually eliminate employer discrimination, market forces alone would rarely erode discrimination rooted in the tastes of workers or consumers.

The market will not compete away customer discrimination because the market is good at giving customers what they want. It is not necessarily possible for disfavoured groups simply  to take jobs where there is no customer contact, particularly if they are large in number relative to the total population. It is also the case the customer discrimination is largely immune from antidiscrimination laws except in blatant cases.

Customer discrimination results in employment segregation, which adds further to the job search costs of minorities as they must find jobs with less customer contact. This lowers their asking wages to save on job search costs and time unemployed.

Customer discrimination can linger because their attitudes may change only slowly, and the preferences of a wide group of individuals may need to change.

An entrepreneurial opportunity arises to those entrepreneurs who are first to alert insert murders of the costs of the prejudice. This is a far more successful way of bringing racial segregation and discrimination to an end. Entrepreneurs put an explicit price on  each and every form of discrimination wherever it might be. 

In professional sport, for example, racial integration came from entrepreneurs risking the loss of some of their existing fans in return for the anticipated cost savings and greater commercial and sporting success from hiring talented minorities and foreigners. Consumer prejudices were eroded by entrepreneurship.

The art of business consists of identifying assets in low-valued uses and devising ways to profitably move them to higher-valued ones. Entrepreneurs profited from finding ways to eliminate discrimination as quickly as possible.

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