The Secretary to the Treasury defending govt fiscal policy

I wasn’t envisaging writing anything more for a while, but….Welllington’s weather certainly isn’t conducive to either the beach or the garden, and the Herald managed to get an interview with Iain Rennie, the new Secretary to the Treasury (not usually the sort of stuff for 27 December either). I’ve always been rather uneasy about heads […]

The Secretary to the Treasury defending govt fiscal policy

Bye and Bye: Washington State Moves To Toward a “Wealth Tax” As the Wealthy Move to Leave the State

Washington State’s unofficial state motto has long been “Al-ki” which means either “bye and bye” or “by and by” in Chinook. The former meaning now seems official as Gov. Jay Inslee pushed for a “wealth tax.” Wealthy citizens are already saying bye to the state in anticipation of what one Democratic billionaire recently called a […]

Bye and Bye: Washington State Moves To Toward a “Wealth Tax” As the Wealthy Move to Leave the State

Marginal Revolution Podcast–The New Monetary Economics!

Today on the MR Podcast Tyler and I discuss the “New Monetary Economics”. Here’s the opening TABARROK: Today we’re going to be talking about the new monetary economics. Now, perhaps the first thing to say is that it’s not new anymore. The new monetary economics refers to a set of claims and ideas about monetary economics […]

Marginal Revolution Podcast–The New Monetary Economics!

Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman’s GDP Graph Confirms the Bottom has Fallen Out of the New Zealand Economy

High profile US Economist Paul Krugman has written a New York Times article in which he shows in one graph the incredible resilience and performance of the American Economy. The dark blue line below tracks the pre-pandemic long-run trend in Real GDP. Meanwhile the orange line is actual real GDP. Krugman remarks that now, in…

Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman’s GDP Graph Confirms the Bottom has Fallen Out of the New Zealand Economy

o1 explains why you should not dismiss Fischer Black on money and prices

The prediction of inflation dynamics—how prices change over time—has increasingly confounded modern macroeconomists. Throughout much of the twentieth century, there seemed to be clear relationships linking the money supply, economic slack, and price levels. Monetarism, the school of thought that posits a stable connection between the growth rate of a money aggregate and the subsequent […]

o1 explains why you should not dismiss Fischer Black on money and prices

How is the Russian war economy doing?

Here is a gloomy account from Vladimir Mirov: Ruble depreciation will contribute to inflation even further, as Russia is continued to be heavily reliant on imports – this is a kind of self-sustaining spiral. I also strongly disagree with those who say that cheaper ruble is “good” for exporters and the budget. Exporters have yet […]

How is the Russian war economy doing?

The no-confidence vote in France

The French National Assembly is scheduled to vote tomorrow (4 Dec.) on a vote of no confidence against the government of Premier Michel Barnier. The premier has been in office only three months, having been appointed following (with some lag) the snap election President Emmanuel Macron had called in July, and which–predictably, given the timing–did […]

The no-confidence vote in France

Germany chart of the day

Here is the link.

Germany chart of the day

The Consequences of Limiting the Tax Deductibility of R&D

We study the tax payment and innovation consequences of limiting the tax deductibility of research and development (“R&D”) expenditures. Beginning in 2022, U.S. companies are required to capitalize and amortize R&D rather than immediately deduct these expenditures. We utilize variation in U.S. firms’ fiscal year ends to test the effects of the R&D tax change […]

The Consequences of Limiting the Tax Deductibility of R&D

Usual suspects want more debt

A group of economists have written to Nicola Willis complaining about the modest fiscal restraint imposed on the public sector. Grant Robertson grew government expenditure by $76 billion/year or a massive 7.6% of GDP, leaving NZ with a structural deficit. Many were champions of his policies or worked for him, and now they complain his […]

Usual suspects want more debt

Milei and populism

Bryan Caplan and Daniel Klein both opine on Milei and populism, Dan being very enthusiastic, while Bryan praising Milei but more reserved in his praise of populism.  I too am a big fan of Milei, and I think he is still on a good track.  If his reforms do not succeed, likely it will not […]

Milei and populism

Popuphobia’s Javier Milei Problem

My dear friend and colleague Dan Klein wrote this. He loves feedback, so please share your thoughts in the comments. And he’d especially appreciate reactions from friends Shikha Dalmia and Nils Karlson, which I’d definitely be glad to run.P.S. Dan asked me to link to the latest Milei news.I define popuphobe as someone who propagates…

Popuphobia’s Javier Milei Problem

Setelinleikkaus: When Finns snipped their cash in half to curb inflation

On the last day of 1945, with World War II finally behind it, Finland’s government announced a new and very strange policy.All Finns were required  to take out a pair of scissors and snip their banknotes in half. This was known in Finland as setelinleikkaus, or banknote cutting. Anyone who owned any of the three…

Setelinleikkaus: When Finns snipped their cash in half to curb inflation

Trump’s victory: Golden age or fiscal reckoning?

Oliver Hartwich writes –  In his victory speech, Donald Trump promised Americans a new “golden age”. While he had the numbers to win the election, the economic realities he faces will make delivering on his promise challenging.   Trump’s victory reflects many Americans’ frustrations with living standards and inflation during the Biden-Harris administration. Vice President Kamala […]

Trump’s victory: Golden age or fiscal reckoning?

Environmental Levies To Cost £108 Billion By 2029/30

By Paul Homewood   The OBR is very explicit about the new budget!! Spending up by £70 billion (so much for “black holes”!), tax up by £36 billion and borrowing by £32 billion.   https://obr.uk/ But the bit we are concerned with is their updated projections for Environmental Levies, aka subsidies for renewable energy.

Environmental Levies To Cost £108 Billion By 2029/30

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