Economic underperformance

With both the annual and quarterly national accounts data having come out recently it is time for a quick update of some old charts. First, labour productivity (real GDP per hour worked). This chart is from the period since just prior to Covid, and for both New Zealand and Australia If you want some slight consolation, […]

Economic underperformance

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Solow on Market Advantages and Market Failures

Robert Solow (1924-2023) died last week. As a starting point for understanding his life and his work on growth theory, the Nobel prize website, since he won the award in 1987, includes an overall description, a biographical essay, and his Nobel lecture. I can also strongly recommend an interview that Steven Levitt carried out with…

Solow on Market Advantages and Market Failures

How Were So Many Economists So Wrong About the Recession?

That is the topic of my latest Bloomberg column, I thought it was time to call out all the Orwellian rewriting of intellectual history going on, so here goes: As Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said last week: “So many economists were saying there’s no way for inflation to get back to normal without it entailing a […]

How Were So Many Economists So Wrong About the Recession?

The Worst Journalism of 2023

Writing about the economic tragedy of Argentina, I’ve explained that one major problem is inflation, thanks to that country’s version of “modern monetary theory.” This is not a trivial problem. Here’s a chart, from a recent report by Reuters, showing how prices have been rising for nearly 10 years and skyrocketing for the past three […]

The Worst Journalism of 2023

190308 [Webinar] Consistent Economic Policy and Economic Development

Friedman and Schwartz agreed with Anderson, Tollison and Shughart on the public choice origins of the Great Contraction!

Corporate Taxation, Ireland, and Jealousy

Two months ago, I wrote about a remarkable example of the Laffer Curve, involving Ireland’s low 12.5 percent corporate tax rate. According to the New York Times, Ireland was collecting so much corporate tax revenue that the government was having a hard time figuring out what to do with all the money (as you might […]

Corporate Taxation, Ireland, and Jealousy

Argentina Milei reform impressions

I didn’t have much time in Argentina, but I can pass along a few impressions about how Milei is doing, noting I hold these with “weak belief”: 1. He is pretty popular with the general population.  He is also popular in B.A. in particular.  People are fed up with what they have been experiencing.  It […]

Argentina Milei reform impressions

FMI Public Speaker Series – Finn Kydland

Finn E. Kydland Nobel Lecture at CERGE-EI

Unconvincing

The Herald ran an op-ed yesterday under the heading “Why the Government’s new Reserve Bank mandate may lead to worse outcomes”. It was written by Toby Moore who served as an economic adviser in Grant Robertson’s office while he was Minister of Finance (a fact the Herald chose not to disclose to its readers). I’m more […]

Unconvincing

Central Banking and the Real-Bills Doctrine

Robert Hetzel, a distinguished historian of monetary theory and of monetary institutions, deployed his expertise in both fields in his recent The Federal Reserve: A New History. Hetzel’s theoretical point departure is that the creation of the Federal Reserve System in 1913 effectively replaced the pre-World War I gold standard, in which the value […]

Central Banking and the Real-Bills Doctrine

Hawtrey on the Interwar Gold Standard

I just got a copy of Ralph Hawtrey’s Trade Depression and the Way Out (1933 edition, an expanded version of the first, 1931, edition published three days before England left the gold standard). Just flipping through the pages, I found the following tidbit on p. 9. The banking system of the world, as it was […]

Hawtrey on the Interwar Gold Standard

Monetary policy turning points

When the Reserve Bank MPC came out late last month with its last words on monetary policy before its extended summer break, my post then was headed “Really?“. It was a commentary on the disjunction between the Reserve Bank’s inflation forecasts on the one hand, that showed quarterly inflation collapsing (not really too strong a word […]

Monetary policy turning points

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