Realignment: The future of British politics

Your enemy’s enemies can still be your enemy

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Why #Tories4Corbyn supports #Corbyn

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Why protest the inauguration of the weakest GOP president in modern times?

Those denouncing Trump forget he is the weakest newly elected GOP president in modern times. Trump’s polarising nature rules out his popularity going up that much.

His erratic nature means that his administration will perform poorly because those he appoints to make up his administration, all 4000 of them, do not know what Trump wants because that changes every day. Trump will have to arbitrate all disputes within his administration.

Congress will desert him as soon as it hurts their re-election chances in 2018 where a great many Republican Senate seats are up because they won back the Senate in 2012.

Trump is even weaker than average because a good part of his base do not otherwise vote in elections or they are registered Democrats. This makes his disgruntled base less of a threat in the 2018 Republican primaries.

Trump can only afford to lose 2 Republican senators. The Democratic Senate caucus will be united because opportunities if they can only pick up two Republican votes in the current Senate.

Trump will be an inept President but more socially liberal than any recent GOP president. Protest that.

Before you start on the fact that Trump won the electoral college but not the popular vote, remember the John Kerry to this day believes election fraud in Ohio deprived him of the presidency in 2004 despite losing the popular vote by about 3 million votes. Winning Ohio would have flipped that election.

The next President of France?

You wonder why right-wing populists are on the rise?

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NZ average incomes stagnate when inequality is falling!?

Source: New Zealand – WID – World Wealth & Income Database.

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You do not win back votes by insulting the voter you want to win over

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Doing Good or Doing Bad? Humanitarian Action and U.S. Grand Strategy

The game theory behind repealing Obamacare first

Congressional Republicans are out manoeuvring the Democrats by first repealing the funding for Obamacare. If they tied a successor health insurance scheme to the repeal of Obamacare, as suggested by their opponents, the Senate Democrats could filibuster this to death.

The Senate Republicans can use a reconciliation device to sidestep a filibuster of the defunding of Obamacare and pass the repeal with a simple majority vote. An attempt to repeal the remaining regulatory structure of Obama care would be subject to a filibuster. A filibuster can be overturned only with 60 votes.

By adopting a sequential approach to the repeal of Obamacare, the Senate Democrats are cornered. They can hardly filibuster attempts to replace a defunded Obamacare with more federal assistance to those on low incomes and with pre-existing conditions.

Eric Posner: Twilight of Human Rights Law

The beauty premium at the ballot box is neoliberal

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Deirdre McCloskey summarises Rawls and Nozick on unequal incomes

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Source: Review of Michael J. Sandel’s What Money Can’t Buy: The Moral Limit of Markets by Deirdre McCloskey August 1, 2012. Shorter version published in the Claremont Review of Books XII(4), Fall 2012 via Deirdre McCloskey: editorials.

The first @PaulKrugman explains European labour market regulation

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Source: Unmitigated Gauls (1998).

A late Christmas present for #Tories4Corbyn

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