The average worker doesn’t pay much in income taxes in New Zealand. Then who does?

via A Comparison of the Tax Burden on Labor in the OECD | Tax Foundation.

How many hours to work your way out of poverty across the OECD?

How to argue for inequality and neoliberalism when arguing dead set against it

On 12 August last, Closer Together New Zealand posted a chart showing average hourly wages had been stagnant for 20 years and then started growing again in 1993. Closer Together New Zealand then rounded up the usual suspects of the Left over Left.

Later that month in a comment on that post, a chart was posted showing that inequality had been increasing quite rapidly in the late 1980s and early 1990s in New Zealand. There were a range of economic reforms Closer Together New Zealand didn’t like in the late 1980s and early 1990s.

image

Closer Together New Zealand did not notice their second chart showed there had been a large increase in inequality, and their first chart showed that this was followed by the return of regular average hourly wages after 20 years of stagnation.

I am not so vulgar as to suggest correlation is causation, but it is amusing to watch that one day a chart is posted showing a resumption of wages growth after 20 years of wage stagnation and the next day a chart is posted showing that the major economic developments in the preceding years were a large increase in inequality and substantial economic liberalisation.

To add to my amusement, a companion site Inequality A New Zealand Conversation posted a chart showing the top 1% had not had much at all in income growth for the last 20 years while most everyone else had. This spike in the incomes of the top 1% prior to about 1994 was followed by the resumption in average wages growth after 1994.

Personal cameras as evidence that criminal deterrence works and works well

Hutt City Council parking wardens are the latest in a long line of frontline staff to wear lapel cameras to deter assaults and verbal abuse. These lapel cameras are another illustration about how criminals and miscreants respond to incentives and are deterred by a greater prospect of being caught, convicted and punished. In the case of lapel cameras, there is a greater prospect of been identified and recorded for later proceedings.

The introduction of personal cameras in New Zealand prisons in high risk areas lead to a large reduction in the number of incidents of violence and abuse towards prison staff. Chief custodial officer Neil Beales said:

The use of on body cameras has led to a 15 to 20 per cent reduction in disruptive incidents (which can range from very minor to more serious) in units where cameras were used, compared with units where they were not used.

Even hardened prison inmates respond to incentives and a greater prospect of being caught and punished.

The introduction of personal cameras is not a priority for the New Zealand police. Mention was made of a six year long budget freeze as one of the reasons.

The first randomized controlled trial of police body cameras in the USA showed that cameras sharply reduce the use of force by police and the number of citizen complaints.

In Seattle, where a dozen officers started wearing body cameras in a pilot program in December, the police department has set up its own YouTube channel, broadcasting a stream of blurred images to protect privacy.

Poverty rates among immigrants and natives across the OECD

If government “programmes have been doing very little to help children out of poverty”, what halved child poverty in the last 20 years? Economic growth?

image

Figure 1: child poverty (%) in New Zealand (before and after housing costs), 1982 – 2013

image

Source: Bryan Perry, Household incomes in New Zealand: Trends in indicators of inequality and hardship 1982 to 2013. Ministry of Social Development (July 2014), Tables F.6 and F.7.

Another one of these Chardonnay socialists

NIMBY: Where, When, And to Which Developers It Happens in the USA

via NIMBY: Where, When, And to Which Developers It Happens — Rooflines.

How many working poor in USA, UK, Canada, Australia and New Zealand?

Figure 1: working poor – proportion of employed persons with income below the poverty line (50% of median disposable income) living in households with a working age head and at least one worker in USA, UK, Canada, Australia and New Zealand, 2013

image

Source: In It Together – Why Less Inequality Benefits All – © OECD 2015, OECD Income Distribution Database (IDD), www.oecd.org/social/income-distribution-database.htm, Table 1.A1.1. Key indicators on the distribution of household disposable income and poverty, 2007, 2011 and 2013 or most recent year.

Does education pay in New Zealand?

https://www.facebook.com/theOECD/photos/pb.73290362460.-2207520000.1436844081./10152704247897461/?type=3&src=https%3A%2F%2Fscontent.xx.fbcdn.net%2Fhphotos-xfp1%2Ft31.0-8%2F11136226_10152704247897461_3405727550462891169_o.png&smallsrc=https%3A%2F%2Fscontent.xx.fbcdn.net%2Fhphotos-xfp1%2Fv%2Ft1.0-9%2F11164624_10152704247897461_3405727550462891169_n.png%3Foh%3D14eeb5755ad5f76deca3cd5c1d54581f%26oe%3D56227D2B&size=699%2C1023&fbid=10152704247897461

Immigrants and their children across the OECD

Why is Labour so staunch on its left-wing policies – the voters must come to them – but opportunistic on race?

Figure 1: who won the electorate vote of New Zealand First party voters, 2014 New Zealand election

image

Source: Electoral Commission.

New Zealand First vote splitting data in Figure 1 suggests many more Labour voters vote New Zealand First than for the National Party with their electorate votes.

1/3rd of voters who gave their party vote to New Zealand First voted Labour with their electorate vote. This compares to one in five New Zealand First voters who gave their electorate vote to the National Party.

The Labour Party can win back some traditional Labour voters by borrowing populist policies from New Zealand First and its ageing leader such as prohibiting foreigners from buying New Zealand land.

Who mentioned Shane Jones?

Voter turnout among voting age people

Under the shy Labour voter theory, countries with low turnouts should have right-wing governments and countries with high turnouts should have left-wing governments. Do they?

Image

A living wage helps well-off households more!

Hopeless KiwiRail bailout reporting by Radio New Zealand

This morning on 9 to noon on Radio New Zealand, Kathryn Ryan, the compere of the program, repeatedly claimed that the government pumped $1 billion into the KiwiRail Turnaround Plan between 2010 and 2014. I was so annoyed by this that I made a broadcasting standards complaint while the program was still being broadcast on my mobile as a one finger typist.

The report on 9 to Noon was in response to the government putting KiwiRail on notice, giving it two years to identify savings and reduce Crown funding required or risk the possibility of closure. Since KiwiRail was acquired in 2008 for $665 million as a commercial investment, Crown investments (taxpayers bailout) totalled $3.4 billion – see Figure 1.

Figure 1: State-owned enterprise welfare, Vote Transport and Vote Finance (KiwiRail), Budgets 08/09 to 15/16

image

Source: New Zealand budget papers, various years.

Table 1 shows that the KiwiRail Turnaround plan of $1.272 billion since the 2009-10 Budget is only a small part of the bailout of KiwiRail. 9 to Noon simply ignored the $210 million in the  2015 budget for KiwiRail for no explicable reason and instead talked about a $1 billion Turnaround plan rather than the $1.272 billion Turnaround plan.

Table 1: State-Owned Enterprise welfare, Vote Transport and Vote Finance (KiwiRail), Budgets 2008/09 to 2015/16, $million

  08/09

09/10

10/11

11/12

12/13

13/14

14/15

15/16

New Zealand Railways Corporation Loans

 

405

55

250

108

 

11

 

KiwiRail Turnaround Plan

 

20

250

250

250

94

198

210

KiwiRail Equity Injection

       

323

25

 

29

Rail Network and Rolling Stock Upgrade

 

105

71

10

       

New Zealand Railways Corporation Loans

55

             

New Zealand Railways Corporation Increase in Capital for the Purchase of Crown Rail

376

             

Crown Rail Operator Loans

140

             

Crown Rail Operator Equity Injection

7

             

Total

578

530

376

510

680

119

209

239

Source: New Zealand budget papers, various years.

Other parts of the bailout of KiwiRail include $405 million in loans to the New Zealand Railways Corporation in the 2009-10 budge – see table 1. There was a $323 million equity injection in the 2012-13 Budget – see table 1. KiwiRail has also caused write-downs in the Crown balance sheet of an incredible $9.8 billion since it was repurchased in 2008.

9 to Noon ignored at least two thirds of the cost to the taxpayer of bailing out KiwiRail by only limiting its reporting to part of the KiwiRail Turnaround Plan. It ignored the contribution in the most recent budget to that plan. That does not meet broadcasting standards of accuracy or professional responsibility.

Any reasonable listener will infer, as I did when listening, that the entire cost of the bailout of KiwiRail is represented by the Turnaround Plan of about $1 billion. If listeners were left with that impression, they were misled by 9 to Noon and Radio New Zealand.

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