Here is a recent paper by Benjamin S. Kay, Aeimit Lakdawala, and Jane Ryngaert: Using a novel dataset linking professional forecasters in the Wall Street Journal Economic Forecasting Survey to their political affiliations, we document a partisan bias in GDP growth forecasts. Republican-affiliated forecasters project 0.3-0.4 percentage points higher growth when Republicans hold the presidency, […]
Partisan Bias in Professional Macroeconomic Forecasts
Partisan Bias in Professional Macroeconomic Forecasts
27 Jul 2025 Leave a comment
in business cycles, economic growth, macroeconomics, politics - USA Tags: forecasting errors
Horseshoe Theory: Trump and the Progressive Left
26 Jul 2025 Leave a comment
in applied price theory, economics of regulation, history of economic thought, income redistribution, international economics, International law, labour economics, labour supply, Marxist economics, politics - USA, Public Choice, rentseeking Tags: 2024 presidential election, regressive left, tarrifs
Many of Trump’s signature policies overlap with those of the American progressive left—e.g. tariffs, economic nationalism, immigration restrictions, deep distrust of elite institutions, and an eagerness to use the power of the state. Trump governs less like Reagan, more like Perón. As Ryan Bourne notes, this ideological convergence has led many on the progressive left […]
Horseshoe Theory: Trump and the Progressive Left
California Dems Reportedly Scrambling To Find Buyer For Refinery After Running Owner Out Of Town
25 Jul 2025 Leave a comment
in economics of regulation, energy economics, environmental economics, global warming, politics - USA Tags: California
The California Energy Commission (CEC) is reportedly actively seeking buyers to stop the upcoming closure of the Valero refinery in Benicia, California, according to three people familiar with the matter that spoke to Reuters. Democrat officials are now reportedly scrambling to keep the refinery operating in California after enforcing stringent regulations that have helped prompt refineries to close across the state for years.
California Dems Reportedly Scrambling To Find Buyer For Refinery After Running Owner Out Of Town
The youth of today
24 Jul 2025 Leave a comment
in liberalism, Marxist economics, politics - USA Tags: useful idiots
Markets in everything, bet on tariff repeal edition
23 Jul 2025 Leave a comment
in applied price theory, entrepreneurship, financial economics, international economics, politics - USA Tags: tarrifs
Cantor Fitzgerald, a financial services company led by the sons of US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, has offered to buy the right to hundreds of millions of dollars in potential refunds from companies that have paid Trump’s tariffs. The offer means that the sons of the pro-tariff commerce secretary, Kyle and Brandon, have made a way for […]
Markets in everything, bet on tariff repeal edition
Planned Parenthood going the way of the ACLU and the SPLC?
23 Jul 2025 Leave a comment
in discrimination, gender, health economics, liberalism, Marxist economics, politics - USA Tags: free speech, political correctness, regressive left, sex discrimination
Luana called my attention to an article on wokeness, in this case describing the ideological erosion of Planned Parenthood (henceforth “PP). Click the headline below to read the WSJ “Saturday essay”, or or find it archived free here. Notice that the author is Pamela Paul, formerly the Sunday book-review editor and then a columnist for […]
Planned Parenthood going the way of the ACLU and the SPLC?
Immigrant Assimilation Is Obviously High
19 Jul 2025 Leave a comment
in labour economics, labour supply, politics - USA, population economics Tags: economics of immigration
I recently argued that self-reports understate the personality gender gap. As long as some men rate their personalities relative to the average male, and some women rate their personalities relative to the average female, the gap the data reveal is less than the true gap. 798 more words
Immigrant Assimilation Is Obviously High
The Timing of Abundance
18 Jul 2025 Leave a comment
in applied price theory, economic history, economics of bureaucracy, economics of regulation, environmental economics, income redistribution, law and economics, politics - USA, property rights, Public Choice, rentseeking, urban economics Tags: housing affordability, land supply, zoning
In case you missed my *Build, Baby, Build* because of the 2024 election.
The Timing of Abundance
Tariff Shenanigans
15 Jul 2025 Leave a comment
in applied price theory, international economic law, international economics, politics - USA Tags: free trade, offsetting behavior, tarrifs
In our textbook, Tyler and I give an amusing example of how entrepreneurs circumvented U.S. tariffs and quotas on sugar. Sugar could be cheaply imported into Canada and iced tea faced low tariffs when imported from Canada into the U.S., so firms created a high-sugar iced “tea” that was then imported into the US and […]
Tariff Shenanigans
ORIGINAL SIN: PRESIDENT BIDEN’S DECLINE, ITS COVERUP, AND HIS DISASTROUS DECISION TO RUN AGAIN by Jake Tapper and Alex Thompson
14 Jul 2025 Leave a comment
in health economics, politics - USA
(Biden family photos sat behind President Joe Biden as he delivered his address to the nation) Ever since the Anita Hill hearings in October 1991 I have had little respect for Joseph Biden. As chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee, he was responsible for her receiving a fair and respectful hearing – a task that […]
ORIGINAL SIN: PRESIDENT BIDEN’S DECLINE, ITS COVERUP, AND HIS DISASTROUS DECISION TO RUN AGAIN by Jake Tapper and Alex Thompson
UChicago Professor Denounces School as an “Evil” and “Colonialist” Institution . . . But Wants to Stay
13 Jul 2025 Leave a comment
in economics of education, Marxist economics, politics - USA Tags: regressive left
While universities have largely purged their faculty ranks of conservatives, there often seems to be no academic who is too far left for hiring committees. The latest example is University of Chicago Assistant Professor and Director of Graduate Studies Eman Abdelhadi, who used her appearance at the Socialism 2025 conference to denounce UChicago as “evil” […]
UChicago Professor Denounces School as an “Evil” and “Colonialist” Institution . . . But Wants to Stay
“I have a Wonderful Opportunity”: Justice Jackson’s Cathartic Jurisprudence
13 Jul 2025 Leave a comment
in law and economics, politics - USA Tags: constitutional law
I wrote recently about the chilling jurisprudence of Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson, who has drawn the ire of colleagues in opinions for her rhetoric and extreme positions. Many have expressed alarm over her adherence to what has been described by a colleague as an “imperial judiciary” model of jurisprudence. Now, it appears that Jackson’s increasingly […]
“I have a Wonderful Opportunity”: Justice Jackson’s Cathartic Jurisprudence
Dr. Matthew Wielicki Torches the $7 Trillion Fossil Fuel Subsidy Myth
10 Jul 2025 1 Comment
in economics of climate change, energy economics, environmental economics, environmentalism, global warming, income redistribution, industrial organisation, politics - USA, Public Choice, rentseeking
Let this article be Exhibit A in the case against climate policy by fiat. And remember: when someone tells you fossil fuels are living off your tax dollars, ask them to show the receipts. Odds are, they’re pointing to a spreadsheet full of make-believe.
Dr. Matthew Wielicki Torches the $7 Trillion Fossil Fuel Subsidy Myth
EPA Suspends over 140 Toxic Employees Who Wrote Letter Denouncing Trump Policies
09 Jul 2025 1 Comment
in economics of bureaucracy, economics of climate change, energy economics, environmental economics, environmentalism, global warming, labour economics, labour supply, occupational choice, personnel economics, politics - USA, Public Choice
The best part of this story is two fold. First, these individuals have done a good job of self-identif[ying] themselves as fifth columnists inside the Trump administration, making it easier to get rid of them.
EPA Suspends over 140 Toxic Employees Who Wrote Letter Denouncing Trump Policies
Victor Davis Hanson Continues to Write Foolishly About Economics
07 Jul 2025 Leave a comment
in applied price theory, history of economic thought, industrial organisation, international economics, politics - USA, Public Choice, rentseeking Tags: tarrifs
TweetEvery time Victor Davis Hanson comments on the economics of international trade he displays his utter ignorance of the most basic facts and theories of that topic. Editor, Real Clear Politics Editor: Victor Davis Hanson’s declaration of victory for Trump’s tariffs is premature and confused (“The Decline and Fall of Our So-Called Degreed Experts,” July…
Victor Davis Hanson Continues to Write Foolishly About Economics
Utopia, you are standing in it! 
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