Ignore the polls, prediction markets have Trump at 66% chance of winning the election

CNN Interview of Rutgers Statistics professor, Harry Crane.  Below are graphs of the prices of a Trump, Biden, and Harris futures contracts that pays out $1 if they become President.  In the last day, the Trump contract has increased by 6¢, indicating a 6% increase in President Trump’s election chances.  The blue bars indicate the…

Ignore the polls, prediction markets have Trump at 66% chance of winning the election

BBB in the NYT

I pitch Build, Baby, Build in today’s New York Times. No illustrations, but a bunch of cool graphs cooked up by Sara Chodosh of the NYT data analytics team. The original title was “The Panacea Policy,” but now it’s “Yes in My Backyard: The Case For Housing Deregulation.” And for you, dear readers, it’s ungated!…

BBB in the NYT

The Attempted Assassination of Trump is Not Nearly as Surprising as it Should Be

Below is my column on the assassination attempt of former president Donald Trump. We all watched as the horrific scene unfolded on television. It was a traumatic moment for the entire country, but it was hardly surprising given this age of rage. We are still learning about the suspected shooter, Thomas Matthew Crooks, 20, was […]

The Attempted Assassination of Trump is Not Nearly as Surprising as it Should Be

Biden’s Desperate Vote-Buying Proposal for Nationwide Rent Control

I’m not a political pundit, but I’m guessing that yesterday’s despicable assassination attempt on Donald Trump increases the likelihood that he reclaims the White House. That’s probably not good news for trade policy (though Biden has been just as bad), but it will be very good news for housing policy. Not because of what Trump […]

Biden’s Desperate Vote-Buying Proposal for Nationwide Rent Control

Jon Stewart Examines Biden’s Future Amidst Calls For Him to Drop Out | T…

New Rule: Bye Bye Biden | Real Time with Bill Maher (HBO)

“The First Amendment is Out of Control”: Academic and Media Figures Rally Against Free Speech

Below is my column in Fox.com on renewed attacks on free speech and the apologists for this anti-free speech movement, including most recently comedian Jon Stewart. From moves to amend the First Amendment to mocking those being targeted, the left is pushing back at polls and efforts to restore free speech values. Here is the […]

“The First Amendment is Out of Control”: Academic and Media Figures Rally Against Free Speech

Bryan Caplan on YIMBY in the NYT

Here is one excerpt: What few appreciate is that the overregulation of housing has blocked a classic American path: moving to a higher-wage part of the country to secure a better life. A paper by the economists Peter Ganong and Daniel Shoag shows that housing costs now routinely outweigh wage gains: While janitors and waiters do indeed […]

Bryan Caplan on YIMBY in the NYT

Clooney says Biden must go

George Clooney writes: I’m a lifelong Democrat; I make no apologies for that. I’m proud of what my party represents and what it stands for. As part of my participation in the democratic process and in support of my chosen candidate, I have led some of the biggest fund-raisers in my party’s history. Barack Obama […]

Clooney says Biden must go

‘Goes Beyond the Limits’: Judge Throws Out Blue City’s Climate Case Against Oil Giants

…simply a way to get in the back door what they cannot get in the front door,” Brown wrote in the ruling.

‘Goes Beyond the Limits’: Judge Throws Out Blue City’s Climate Case Against Oil Giants

Antifa Radicals Elected to the French and European Parliaments

For many years, I have testified and written about Antifa and its growing anti-free speech philosophy. Some Democratic leaders have embraced this violent movement, which continues to gain strength on campuses and its cities across the nation. It is also a global movement. That is reflected in the alarming election of Antifa candidates to the […]

Antifa Radicals Elected to the French and European Parliaments

Energy, Business Groups Ask Supreme Court To Stop California From Forcing EVs On the Rest of America

Numerous trade associations are asking the Supreme Court to review a lower court’s decision that effectively allowed California to push electric vehicles (EVs) on the rest of the U.S.

Energy, Business Groups Ask Supreme Court To Stop California From Forcing EVs On the Rest of America

“This Our Finest Hour”: Democratic Insiders Support “Blitz Primary” After Blocking Primary Competition

A proposal is circulating in Washington to dump President Joe Biden and hold a “blitz primary” to choose a replacement. The proposal is the work of Rosa Brooks, a Georgetown University law professor who worked in the Obama and Clinton administrations, and Ted Dintersmith, a venture capitalist and education philanthropist. The proposal is gaining support […]

“This Our Finest Hour”: Democratic Insiders Support “Blitz Primary” After Blocking Primary Competition

“A Death Squad Ruling”: The Press and Pundits Make Wild Claims in the Wake of the Court’s Immunity Decision

Below is my column in The Hill on the over-wrought reaction to the Supreme Court decision in Trump v. United States. Commentators seemed to compete for the most alarmist accounts from court-sanctioned death squads to political assassinations to the death of democracy. From the coverage of the immunity decision, one would think that the Madisonian […]

“A Death Squad Ruling”: The Press and Pundits Make Wild Claims in the Wake of the Court’s Immunity Decision

The Death Watch has been ticking for a while.

The Democrat Party hasn’t won the White vote in a presidential election for 60 years. The polls for “President” Biden right now are just brutal, especially in the wake of The Debate – which may prove me wrong in my holding that such things have little impact, although I’ll only acknowledge that if Biden is […]

The Death Watch has been ticking for a while.

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