.@PhilTwyford @JulieAnneGenter finest hour on housing affordability
10 Sep 2017 Leave a comment
in economics of regulation, politics - New Zealand, urban economics Tags: housing affordability, land use planning, zoning
Home ownership in 2013 was at its lowest rate since the 1950s.
08 May 2017 Leave a comment
in economic history, economics of regulation, politics - New Zealand, urban economics Tags: home ownership, housing affordability, land supply
Real housing prices since 1975
04 Apr 2017 Leave a comment
in economic history, economics of regulation, politics - Australia, politics - New Zealand, politics - USA, urban economics Tags: housing affordability, land affordability, land supply, zoning
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US, Australian and NZ real house prices, March 1975 to June 2016
08 Nov 2016 Leave a comment
in economic history, politics - Australia, politics - New Zealand, politics - USA, urban economics Tags: Australia, housing affordability
More on the emergence of Generation Rent in New Zealand
28 Sep 2016 Leave a comment
in applied welfare economics, economic history, politics - New Zealand, urban economics Tags: Generation Rent, housing affordability
When did a house become an investment? 40% price crash has happened before!
26 Sep 2016 Leave a comment
in economic history, urban economics Tags: housing affordability, housing prices, land supply, RMA, zoning
The Resource Management Act was passed in 1993.
Note that there is considerable regional variation in housing prices in New Zealand.
Source: Property Prices in New Zealand | New Zealand Real Estate Prices.
Spot Generation Rent in New Zealand
25 Sep 2016 Leave a comment
in economic history, politics - New Zealand, urban economics Tags: Generation Rent, housing affordability
Source: Housing affordability: The Social Report 2016 – Te pūrongo oranga tangata from Perry (2015), Ministry of Social Development, using data from Statistics New Zealand’s Household Economic Survey.
New Zealand leads house price to income ratio across the OECD
31 Aug 2016 Leave a comment
in politics - New Zealand, urban economics Tags: housing affordability, land supply, RMA, zoning
Source: IMF Global Housing Watch
How will @nzlabour @NZGreens ration their 100,000 affordable homes?
27 Aug 2016 Leave a comment
in applied price theory, politics - New Zealand, urban economics Tags: affordable housing, housing affordability, land supply, New Zealand Greens, New Zealand Labour Party, price controls
The Labour Party (and Greens) both plan to build 100,000 affordable homes and sell them within a specific price range. In Auckland, where houses cost in excess of $800,000 on average, they hope to enter the market at the $550,000 point with still quite reasonable housing.
What I ask you is how will Labour and the Greens make sure the affordable houses both are proposing are not snapped up by well-to-do buyers rather than families currently locked out of the market? What will the rationing mechanism be?
Source: KiwiBuild – New Zealand Labour Party.
How will Labour and the Greens ration these desirable houses given that they are priced well below the competition? If two buyers both offer $550,000 for the house, which bid will be accepted?
If the next best available house in Auckland is worth more than that because it is not sold by the proposed Housing Affordability Authority, the first bid for these houses will be $550,000 which is the maximum the government under a Labour Party is willing to accept? What happens then?
It is basic economics that if you price at less than the market clearing rate which in Auckland is somewhere near $800,000, people will queue to buy what you have unless you raise the price. The exercise of building 100,000 affordable houses makes no sense unless the purpose is to undercut what the market currently supplies.
As the houses are to be sold by a government agency, there can be no black market nor dilution of quality to even up supply with demand. How will a deadlock in price bids be resolved if the maximum bid for an affordable house starts at $550,000?
Labour acknowledges the possibility of flipping by restricting resale for 5 years. But what stops investors just waiting 5 years as there is any significant price gap between these affordable houses and the private market alternatives.
What stops more affluent buyers living in these houses because they so much cheaper than the competing options in Auckland? If you miss out in bidding on one affordable home, do you go back to the end of the queue for the next that is built or get some priority?
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