A 2011 blog post of mine on "the bet" rogerpielkejr.blogspot.com/2011/10/cornuc…
Attached a bigger bin of commodities & bet dates in red http://t.co/SC6HeuRwys—
Roger Pielke Jr. (@RogerPielkeJr) April 29, 2015
26th anniversary of Julian Simon @PaulREhrlich bet @GreenpeaceNZ @GreenpeaceUSA
11 Oct 2016 Leave a comment
in applied price theory, economic history, energy economics, entrepreneurship, industrial organisation, resource economics, survivor principle Tags: commodity prices, doomsday prophecies, endogenous growth theory, entrepreneurial alertness, Julian Simon, Paul Ehrlich
Earth Day flashback
21 Apr 2016 Leave a comment
in environmental economics, environmentalism, labour economics, labour supply, population economics Tags: doomsday prophecies, Earth Day, Paul Ehrlich
Paul Ehrlich: Australia will become a “third world country” if we don’t abandon Mining
03 Nov 2015 Leave a comment
in environmental economics, environmentalism Tags: doomsday prophets, Paul Ehrlich
Guest essay by Eric Worrall
Serial failed futurist Paul Ehrlich has warned that Australia will become a third world country, if we Australians don’t abandon one of our main sources of national income.
According to The Guardian;
Q&A: mining will turn Australia into a third-world country, says ecologist Paul Ehrlich
Ehrlich warns ‘you are destroying your life support systems here’ and says his prediction of a 90% chance civilisation will collapse in 50 years is based on ‘gut feeling’
Australia is “working to become a third-world country” through its economic dependence on mining natural resources for export and reliance on coalmining, according to doomsday ecologist Paul Ehrlich.
Ehrlich made the prediction on the ABC’s Q&A program on Monday night, after dismissing the views of other panellists on the question of whether Australia was overpopulated as “mostly nonsense, unfortunately,” and before praising the economic theories of electronics retailer Dick…
View original post 239 more words
How humans cause mass extinctions?
17 Aug 2015 Leave a comment
in environmental economics, environmentalism Tags: cranks, doomsday prophets, endangered species, Paul Ehrlich
HT: MasterResource
How are Paul Ehrlich’s food riots going?
14 Jul 2015 Leave a comment
in economic history, environmental economics, environmentalism Tags: agricultural economics, doomsday prophets, Paul Ehrlich, The Great Escape
The world uses 68% less land to produce the same amount of food compared to 50 years ago: bit.ly/1FtkmTE http://t.co/zi4RnKnJQd—
Max Roser (@MaxCRoser) June 03, 2015
Paul R. Ehrlich’s food riots have been postponed even further
20 May 2015 Leave a comment
in environmentalism Tags: agricultural economics, doomsday prophecies, Paul Ehrlich, The Great Escape, The Great Fact
Climate experts @PaulREhrlich says we all died during the 1980s http://t.co/C7k1Qc4B4O—
Steve Goddard (@SteveSGoddard) May 14, 2015
When will Paul Ehrlich’s food riots be starting?
05 May 2015 Leave a comment
in development economics, energy economics, environmental economics, growth disasters, growth miracles, population economics, resource economics Tags: agricultural economics, doomsday prophets, ecological economics, Paul Ehrlich, population bomb, The Great Escape, The Great Fact
"Although the size and wealth of the human population has shot up…"—Jesse H. Ausubel. buff.ly/1Gz5vb8 http://t.co/ZvnnhV9aXH—
HumanProgress.org (@humanprogress) April 30, 2015
Despite a recent uptick, food prices have been declining for over a century, says @chellivia: j.mp/1Evos3r http://t.co/perdLhFods—
Cato Institute (@CatoInstitute) April 24, 2015
Even taking population growth into account, food production per person is actually increasing: j.mp/1Qo0fPt http://t.co/VH0NieLMOX—
Cato Institute (@CatoInstitute) April 23, 2015
Climate experts @PaulREhrlich says we all died during the 1980s http://t.co/C7k1Qc4B4O—
Steve Goddard (@SteveSGoddard) May 14, 2015
Paul Sabin "The Bet: Our Gamble for Earth’s Future"
30 Apr 2015 Leave a comment
in applied welfare economics, economic history, energy economics, environmental economics, resource economics Tags: Julian Simon, Paul Ehrlich, Paul Sabin
The Ehrlich–Simon Bet and commodity prices since 1845
30 Apr 2015 Leave a comment
in economic history, energy economics, environmentalism, resource economics Tags: commodity prices, Julian Simon, Paul Ehrlich
A 2011 blog post of mine on "the bet" rogerpielkejr.blogspot.com/2011/10/cornuc…
Attached a bigger bin of commodities & bet dates in red http://t.co/SC6HeuRwys—
Roger Pielke Jr. (@RogerPielkeJr) April 29, 2015
Simon-Ehrlich wager
20 Mar 2015 Leave a comment
in market efficiency, resource economics Tags: activists, commodity prices, doomsday prophecies, Julian Simon, Paul Ehrlich, peak oil, Simon-Ehrlich wager
Paul Ehrlich – the gift that keeps giving
05 Feb 2015 Leave a comment
in environmentalism Tags: activists, do gooders, doomsday alarmists, environmental alarmists, environmental cranks, Greens, Paul Ehrlich, Quacks
HT: alexepstein
Paul Ehrlich in 1970 predicted a USA decimated by hunger in the year 2000: just 23 million inhabitants living on less calories than the average African gets today
10 Jun 2014 Leave a comment
in environmental economics, environmentalism Tags: Bjørn Lomborg, Paul Ehrlich, The Great Escape, The Great Fact
HT: Cool It
Paul Ehrlich–still going after 40-years of wrong, wrong, and wrong again
23 May 2014 Leave a comment
in population economics, technological progress Tags: Paul Ehrlich, population bomb
We will soon be asking is it perfectly okay to eat the bodies of your dead because we’re all so hungry?
…In other words between now and 45 years from now, 2.5 billion people will be added to the planet. …We are moving towards resource wars
“Will overpopulation drive us to eat our own DEAD?” The Daily Mail, 23 May 2014
Paul Ehrlich is widely known for his 1968 book ‘The Population Bomb’ which he called for population control to prevent global crises from overpopulation. In his 1968 book, he predicted.
Plainly, he got that wrong. In 1970, Ehrlich predicted that Americans would be subjected to water rationing by 1974 and food rationing by the end of the 1970s. He got that wrong too.
Julian L. Simon and Ehrlich entered in a widely followed scientific wager in 1980.
Simon had Ehrlich choose five commodity metals. Simon bet that their prices would decrease, while Ehrlich bet they would increase. Between 1980 and 1990, the world’s population grew by more than 800 million, the largest increase in one decade in all of history.
Ehrlich lost the bet with Simon. All five commodities bet on declined in price from 1980 through to 1990.
Ehrlich was more than a sore loser. In 1995, he told the Wall Street Journal that
If Simon disappeared from the face of the Earth, that would be great for humanity.
Ehrlich calls those who disagree with him “idiots,” “fools,” “morons,” “clowns” and worse. His righteous zeal is matched by viciousness in disagreement and utter imperviousness to contrary evidence
EARTH DAY: SPIRITUALLY UPLIFTING, INTELLECTUALLY DEBASED by Julian L. Simon
23 Apr 2014 Leave a comment
in applied welfare economics, entrepreneurship, environmental economics, environmentalism, liberalism, market efficiency Tags: Earth Day, Julian Simon, Paul Ehrlich
During the first great Earth Week in 1970 there was panic.
The public’s outlook for the planet was unrelievedly gloomy.
The doom saying environmentalists – of whom the dominant figure was Paul Ehrlich – raised the alarm: The oceans and the Great Lakes were dying; impending great famines would be seen on television starting in 1975; the death rate would quickly increase due to pollution; and rising prices of increasingly-scarce raw materials would lead to a reversal in the past centuries’ progress in the standard of living.
… On average, people throughout the world have been living longer and eating better than ever before.
Fewer people die of famine nowadays than in earlier centuries.
The real prices of food and of every other raw material are lower now than in earlier decades and centuries, indicating a trend of increased natural-resource availability rather than increased scarcity.
The major air and water pollutions in the advanced countries have been lessening rather than worsening.
Via Julian Simon memorial site
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