Why some billionaires are bad for growth, and others aren’t

image

…Bagchi and Svejnar carefully went through the lists of all the Forbes billionaires, and divided them into those who had acquired their wealth due to political connections, and those who had not. This is kind of a slippery slope — almost all billionaires have probably benefited from government connections at one time or another.

But the researchers used a very conservative standard for classifying people as politically connected, only assigning billionaires to this group when it was clear that their wealth was a product of government connections. Just benefiting from a government that was pro-business, like those in Singapore and Hong Kong, wasn’t enough.

Rather, the researchers were looking for a situation like Indonesia under Suharto, where political connections were usually needed to secure import licenses, or Russia in the mid-1990s, when some state employees made fortunes overnight as the state privatized assets.

…The negative effects of wealth inequality are largely being driven by politically connected wealth inequality. That seems to be the primary channel that drives this relationship…

a 3.72 percent increase in the level of wealth inequality would cost a country about half a percent of real GDP per capita growth. That’s a big impact, given that average GDP growth is in the neighbourhood of two percent per year

The return of The Great Escape to Russia: life expectancies by age and sex, 1990 to 2013

LE by Age in Russia males

LE by Age in Russia females

via Life Expectancy by Age in selected Country from 1990 to 2013 | Health Intelligence.

Modern European borders superimposed over Europe in 1914

Major sovereign bond defaults in recent history

via Defaulting Debtors.

Boris Yeltsin took office as the first elected President of Russia this Day 1991

Can the American fighters fly slow enough to intercept the Russian bombers

Doing business in Russia and Italy – World Bank rankings compared

Figure 1: Doing Business rankings, Russia and Italy, 2014

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Source: World Bank Doing Business 2015.

It is rather disturbing that it is a lot easier to register property and enforce contracts in Russia than in Italy and  far harder to pay your taxes in Italy. Once again, Italy’s saving grace is the ability to trade across borders Because of its membership of the European Union.

Legal systems and property rights in Greece and Russia – Index of Economic Freedom rankings compared

Figure 1: Index of Economic Freedom rankings for legal systems and property rights, Greece, Russia and USA, 2012

image

Source: Economic Freedom of the World – Annual Report 2014 | www.freetheworld.com.

Overall, there are not that many differences between Greece and Russia in the quality of their legal systems and property rights. Don’t go to the police in Russia and good luck trying to enforce contracts in Greece.

Greece (61st) is ranked one above the Russia in the World Bank’s Doing Business Survey 2015

Figure 1: Greek and Russian Doing Business sub-rankings, 2015

image

Source: World Bank Doing Business 2015.

As long as you’re not in a construction or export business, and don’t mind waiting for your electricity, it’s better to do business in Russia than in Greece! The main difference between Russia and Greece is its membership of the European Union makes it easy to export?

In Russia, it’s easier to start a business, register property and enforce contracts than it is in Greece!

Should economic reform have been slower in the transitional economies?

image

via Normal Countries: The East 25 Years After Communism | Andrei Shleifer.

Russians are surprisingly trusting of their politicians

Image

Putin is actually the best of a bad lot

Most of the EU is heavily reliant on Russian natural gas

MAP: Russia’s expanding empire in Ukraine and elsewhere – The Washington Post

via MAP: Russia’s expanding empire in Ukraine and elsewhere – The Washington Post.

Which countries would be affected if Vladimir Putin and Russia turn off the gas?

HT: cityam.com

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