Everything from the latest opinion polls to the bookies odds points to a crushing defeat for the Conservatives at the next general election. However, if I were a betting man, I would put a few quid on Rishi Sunak remaining in Number 10.
For a start, the next election could be as late as January 2025. This would be five years from when the current Parliament first met in December 2019, plus the 25 working days for an election campaign.
Of course, it is never a good idea to ask people to vote in the depths of winter, so the election will surely be called sooner. But even May 2024 would leave a full year for the government to turn things around. If a week is a long time in politics, this is an eternity – though hopefully it will not feel like one.
This is where the performance…
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