The gender wage gap is fading away

The gender wage gap has dropped by two-thirds in the last 30 years. It has halved since the first pay equity claim was filed 14 years ago. The gender wage gap is now barely 5.5% in June 2026 according to the recently released Statistics New Zealand data. It is a stretch to file pay equity claims asking for 30% more when the gender wage gap struggles to stay above 5%.

The gender wage gap data released by Statistics New Zealand recently is the raw data. There are no adjustments to that pay gap for differences in educational backgrounds, continuity of employment and dedication to demanding careers, unsocial hours, risk of injury, and the greater desire of women for work-life balance and jobs with more working from home options.

It is not mischievous to say that the gender wage gap may round down to zero once these factors are considered.

From time-to-time, detailed datasets become available on male and female workers that show that the gender wage gap goes down or close to zero. There are even detailed datasets where hiring and job assignments are made without any management intervention or possible bias.

There is a large gender wage gap driven by work-life balance under a bus and train drivers’ collective agreement in Massachusetts. The work-force was one-third female with hiring via a lottery among applicants with a clean record. Shifts are chosen by drivers strictly according to their seniority at each depot.

There was still a 11% gender wage gap because women drivers elected to work less overtime, they avoided overtime shifts on short notice, and they worked fewer shifts at nights and weekends. This gender wage gap among bus and train drivers cannot be the fault of their sexist employer because work was allocated by an exceptionally detailed union contract.

A 7% gender wage gap emerged even when a computer algorithm is allocating the work first come, first served.

A study of Uber drivers found a gender pay gap of zero once account is taken for male Uber drivers driving more at nights, weekends and in the more dodgy neighbourhoods with drinking establishments. Male Uber drivers also worked more hours per year which meant they had much more work experience than female Uber drivers. These additional hours meant men became more skilled in deciding when and where to best cruise for the best paying jobs. The fact that men drive faster explained the last two percentage points of the gender pay gap at Uber. Speed meant men were available for the next Uber job quicker.

The gender wage gap is just into the double digits for the top 10% of female earners in New Zealand in 2025 (see OECD graphic). This is because their chosen careers are often not family friendly. But even at the top end of town the gender pay gap has halved in the last 20 years.

OECD data explorer

Women’s willingness to trade work-life balance for lower wages and fewer promotions is a big driver of the gender wage gap and the channelling of women into family friendly occupations. The wages of men and women at all levels are similar in the years leading up to motherhood then everything changes.

Top American labour economist Claudia Goldin found that some careers severely penalise any time off such as for motherhood or working less than punishingly long or rigid hours. Goldin refers to these jobs as greedy jobs. Women’s preference for family friendly occupations that can pay less and a tendency to avoid greedy jobs will mean that the gender wage gap may always be with us at least at the big end of town.

The Allocative Cost of War

Why is war so economically costly? Our answer is that modern war lowers output not only by destroying productive factors, but also by making the surviving economy work less efficiently. Using uniquely comprehensive firm-level data collected during Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, we document a dramatic collapse in allocative productivity in Ukraine. To…

The Allocative Cost of War

Scott Freeman on the Phillips Curve

The Pro-Growth Impact of Deregulation

Regulation adds “clutter” to an economy, sort of akin to creating an obstacle course that workers and businesses have to navigate in order to be productive. In other words, red tape makes it harder to be profitable. And that reduces incentives to invest. And every economic theory agrees that less investment means less prosperity. That’s […]

The Pro-Growth Impact of Deregulation

Bruce D. Smith refutes the quantity theory

‘Incomplete Contracts and the Theory of Contract Design,’ by Robert Scott and George Triantis

Economists and lawyers know that almost every contract is incomplete. Contracts routinely omit or leave undefined important terms, and they rarely anticipate every circumstance that might frustrate performance. The reason is simple: It makes little sense to spend $1,000 drafting a provision that has an expected value of only $100. Parties therefore leave lower-value contingencies…

‘Incomplete Contracts and the Theory of Contract Design,’ by Robert Scott and George Triantis

The case for unilateral recognition

Bilateral, plurilateral, and multilateral are words that New Zealand’s civil service love. There is nothing that can’t be improved by doing it in concert with others. Sometimes there’s good reason for just doing stuff. New Zealand made the right decision when it unilaterally slashed all of its tariffs. It also progressed all the other trade agreements that helped…

The case for unilateral recognition

Economic Scenarios for Transformative AI

By Anton Korinek, Charles I. Jones, Szymon Sacher, Tess Cotter, and Peter McCrory, a strong line-up from Anthropic.  They are sober, reasoned, scientific, and (for the most part) dynamically consistent.  Here is the paper, here is the abstract: This paper presents a framework for assessing the economic consequences of AI between 2026 and 2030. In…

Economic Scenarios for Transformative AI

Some Comments on the Significance of Labor Unions for Economic Policy – Items – Collected Works of Milton Friedman

From https://miltonfriedman.hoover.org/objects/57650/some-comments-on-the-significance-of-labor-unions-for-econom

How Much Redistribution Will AI Require?

How much redistribution will AI require? A common scenario is that AI raises output enormously, but labor’s share of income collapses. GDP per capita goes up but workers get poorer, and making workers whole requires massive redistribution. In my latest paper, I run the numbers and conclude that this is probably incorrect. The idea is…

How Much Redistribution Will AI Require?

Quotation of the Day…

Tweet… is from page 213 of Menzie Chinn’s and Douglas Irwin’s superb 2025 textbook, International Economics: The past few decades have been an era of globalization. Most countries have moved to reduce trade barriers and take advantage of growing world trade. How have they done so? One way a country can reduce its tariff and…

Quotation of the Day…

State Film Subsidies Lose Money. Trump Wants To Try the Idea Nationally.

There’s “no reason to think a federal incentive would work any differently from state incentives,” says one expert.

State Film Subsidies Lose Money. Trump Wants To Try the Idea Nationally.

‘The Use of Knowledge in Society,’ by Friedrich A. Hayek

The wealth and technological sophistication of modern society are readily apparent. Less visible, but no less remarkable, is its ability to coordinate the actions of billions of people who know almost nothing about one another’s circumstances. Every day we make decisions without possessing most of the information on which those decisions ultimately depend. We purchase…

‘The Use of Knowledge in Society,’ by Friedrich A. Hayek

Do labour markets behave like competitive markets?

The American evidence is that they frequently do not. For over a century there was a separate Department of Labour, which was amalgamated into that vast miscellaneous department, the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment. Today there is no Minister of Labour, while the portfolios of workplace relations and safety and of immigration are held […]

Do labour markets behave like competitive markets?

‘The Logic of Political Survival,’ by Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, Alastair Smith, Randolph M. Siverson & James D. Morrow

Since the COVID-19 pandemic and the political upheavals that followed, concerns have grown that many Western democracies face authoritarian pressure and are becoming less democratic. This shift has renewed interest in one of political science’s most influential frameworks for understanding democratic and nondemocratic rule: Selectorate Theory, developed by Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, Alastair Smith, Randolph…

‘The Logic of Political Survival,’ by Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, Alastair Smith, Randolph M. Siverson & James D. Morrow

Previous Older Entries Next Newer Entries

The Bleeding Heart Libertarian

Celebrating humanity's flourishing through the spread of capitalism and the rule of law

More Stories from the Stories I Publish!

Celebrating humanity's flourishing through the spread of capitalism and the rule of law

In My Tribe

Celebrating humanity's flourishing through the spread of capitalism and the rule of law

Coordination Problem

Celebrating humanity's flourishing through the spread of capitalism and the rule of law

Libertarian Land

Celebrating humanity's flourishing through the spread of capitalism and the rule of law

Arin’s Substack

Celebrating humanity's flourishing through the spread of capitalism and the rule of law

David Andolfatto

Celebrating humanity's flourishing through the spread of capitalism and the rule of law

Monetary Non-Neutrality

Celebrating humanity's flourishing through the spread of capitalism and the rule of law

Reason Magazine

Celebrating humanity's flourishing through the spread of capitalism and the rule of law

Coyote Blog

Celebrating humanity's flourishing through the spread of capitalism and the rule of law

Thoughts from the North

Celebrating humanity's flourishing through the spread of capitalism and the rule of law

Fardels Bear

A History of the Alt-Right

Vincent Geloso

Econ Prof at George Mason University, Economic Historian, Québécois

Bassett, Brash & Hide

Celebrating humanity's flourishing through the spread of capitalism and the rule of law

Truth on the Market

Scholarly commentary on law, economics, and more

The Undercover Historian

Beatrice Cherrier's blog

Matua Kahurangi

Celebrating humanity's flourishing through the spread of capitalism and the rule of law

Temple of Sociology

Celebrating humanity's flourishing through the spread of capitalism and the rule of law

Velvet Glove, Iron Fist

Celebrating humanity's flourishing through the spread of capitalism and the rule of law

Why Evolution Is True

Why Evolution is True is a blog written by Jerry Coyne, centered on evolution and biology but also dealing with diverse topics like politics, culture, and cats.

NoTricksZone

Celebrating humanity's flourishing through the spread of capitalism and the rule of law

Homepaddock

A rural perspective with a blue tint by Ele Ludemann

Kiwiblog

DPF's Kiwiblog - Fomenting Happy Mischief since 2003

The Dangerous Economist

Celebrating humanity's flourishing through the spread of capitalism and the rule of law

Watts Up With That?

The world's most viewed site on global warming and climate change

The Logical Place

Tim Harding's writings on rationality, informal logic and skepticism

Doc's Books

A window into Doc Freiberger's library

The Risk-Monger

Let's examine hard decisions!

Uneasy Money

Commentary on monetary policy in the spirit of R. G. Hawtrey

Barrie Saunders

Thoughts on public policy and the media

Liberty Scott

Celebrating humanity's flourishing through the spread of capitalism and the rule of law

Point of Order

Politics and the economy

James Bowden's Blog

A blog (primarily) on Canadian and Commonwealth political history and institutions

Science Matters

Reading between the lines, and underneath the hype.

Peter Winsley

Economics, and such stuff as dreams are made on

A Venerable Puzzle

"The British constitution has always been puzzling, and always will be." --Queen Elizabeth II

The Antiplanner

Celebrating humanity's flourishing through the spread of capitalism and the rule of law

Bet On It

Celebrating humanity's flourishing through the spread of capitalism and the rule of law

History of Sorts

WORLD WAR II, MUSIC, HISTORY, HOLOCAUST

Roger Pielke Jr.

Undisciplined scholar, recovering academic

Offsetting Behaviour

Celebrating humanity's flourishing through the spread of capitalism and the rule of law

JONATHAN TURLEY

Res ipsa loquitur - The thing itself speaks

Conversable Economist

In Hume’s spirit, I will attempt to serve as an ambassador from my world of economics, and help in “finding topics of conversation fit for the entertainment of rational creatures.”

The Victorian Commons

Researching the House of Commons, 1832-1868

Books & Boots

Reflections on books and art

Legal History Miscellany

Posts on the History of Law, Crime, and Justice