Deirdre McCloskey on Bourgeois Equality: How Ideas, Not Capital, Changed the World

@NZGreens @JulieAnneGenter are right! Government cars should go electric!

Ministerial cars going electric is a great idea. The range limitations and range anxiety inherent to electric cars would mean ministers will find it much more difficult to do their jobs and therefore will have less time each day to mess up the economy and regulate unnecessarily.

One of the most productive things I ever saw the Green MPs do in Wellington was taking the bus to and from work.

I could not be happier when I saw Green coleaders Russel Norman and Metiria Turei waiting at a bus stop. They are just waiting, they will not working with a colleague, they were not working on their phones. They were just standing there doing nothing. That was the most productive moments of their times in parliament.

Every second a Green MP spends waiting for a bus and travelling on a bus and arranging to fit in with bus timetables is one second less spent making New Zealand a poorer country and deterring investment from coming to New Zealand through their high tax and heavy regulation policies.

The politics of marijuana in the USA

In representative democracy that is a unitary state such as New Zealand, the issue on marijuana decriminalisation is who will change their vote to vote against a party who advocates marijuana decriminalisation under a MMP system where all elections are close.

In a strong federal state, where some states allow citizen initiated referendums to change the law, it is possible to pioneer reform without that backlash. Then laboratory federalism takes over. Subsequent to the decriminalisation of marijuana or medical marijuana by various state governments, the Congress defunded federal marijuana drug law enforcement in states who had decriminalised marijuana. That major reform was underreported.

RT @oxfamnz @Oxfam what halved global poverty in 15 years? @NZGreens @RusselNorman @GreenpeaceNZ

How did the MDGs fare?

More reasons to let @jeremycorbyn be Corbyn – non-voters believe much the same things as voters

It is vital to permanent Tory rule that Jeremy Corbyn stay staunch to the principles and electoral strategy on which he was elected by Labour Party members and supporters to be their leader and alternative Prime Minister.

Source: The huge shock coming down the track for the Corbynites | Conservative Home

Source: New polling data shows the challenge facing Jeremy Corbyn

Source: New polling data shows the challenge facing Jeremy Corbyn

Source: New polling data shows the challenge facing Jeremy Corbyn

Source: New polling data shows the challenge facing Jeremy Corbyn

Source: New polling data shows the challenge facing Jeremy Corbyn

Source: New polling data shows the challenge facing Jeremy Corbyn

Source: New polling data shows the challenge facing Jeremy Corbyn

Source: New polling data shows the challenge facing Jeremy Corbyn

Source: New polling data shows the challenge facing Jeremy Corbyn

If Economists Are So Smart, Why Is Africa So Poor?

Source: Stephen Haber, Douglass C. North, and Barry R. Weingast If Economists Are So Smart, Why Is Africa So Poor? | Hoover Institution

The rise of democracy in the 20th century

George Stigler on do-gooders

Hayek explains the inexplicable value of capitalism and traditions

@NZGreens are so polite on Twitter @MaramaDavidson @RusselNorman @greencatherine

One of the first things I noticed when feuding on Twitter with Green MPs was how polite they were. Twitter is not normally known for that characteristic and that is before considering the limitations of 144 characters. People who are good friends and work together will go to war over email without any space limitations for the making an email polite and friendly. Imagine how easy it is to misconstrue the meaning and motivations of tweets that can only be 144 characters.

The New Zealand Green MPs in their replies on Twitter make good points and ask penetrating questions that explain their position well and makes you think more deeply about your own. Knowledge grows through critical discussion, not by consensus and agreement.

Cass Sunstein made some astute observations in Republic.com 2.0 about how the blogosphere forms into information cocoons and echo chambers. People can avoid the news and opinions they don’t want to hear.

Sunstein has argued that there are limitless news and information options and, more significantly, there are limitless options for avoiding what you do not want to hear:

  • Those in search of affirmation will find it in abundance on the Internet in those newspapers, blogs, podcasts and other media that reinforce their views.
  • People can filter out opposing or alternative viewpoints to create a “Daily Me.”
  • The sense of personal empowerment that consumers gain from filtering out news to create their Daily Me creates an echo chamber effect and accelerates political polarisation.

A common risk of debate is group polarisation. Members of the deliberating group move toward a more extreme position relative to their initial tendencies! How many blogs are populated by those that denounce those who disagree? This is the role of the mind guard in group-think.

Sunstein in Infotopia wrote about how people use the Internet to spend too much time talking to those that agree with them and not enough time looking to be challenged:

In an age of information overload, it is easy to fall back on our own prejudices and insulate ourselves with comforting opinions that reaffirm our core beliefs. Crowds quickly become mobs.

The justification for the Iraq war, the collapse of Enron, the explosion of the space shuttle Columbia–all of these resulted from decisions made by leaders and groups trapped in “information cocoons,” shielded from information at odds with their preconceptions. How can leaders and ordinary people challenge insular decision making and gain access to the sum of human knowledge?

Conspiracy theories had enough momentum of their own before the information cocoons and echo chambers of the blogosphere gained ground.

J.S. Mill pointed out that critics who are totally wrong still add value because they keep you on your toes and sharpened both your argument and the communication of your message. If the righteous majority silences or ignores its opponents, it will never have to defend its belief and over time will forget the arguments for it.

As well as losing its grasp of the arguments for its belief, J.S. Mill adds that the majority will in due course even lose a sense of the real meaning and substance of its belief. What earlier may have been a vital belief will be reduced in time to a series of phrases retained by rote. The belief will be held as a dead dogma rather than as a living truth.

Beliefs held like this are extremely vulnerable to serious opposition when it is eventually encountered. They are more likely to collapse because their supporters do not know how to defend them or even what they really mean.

J.S. Mill’s scenarios involves both parties of opinion, majority and minority, having a portion of the truth but not the whole of it. He regards this as the most common of the three scenarios, and his argument here is very simple. To enlarge its grasp of the truth, the majority must encourage the minority to express its partially truthful view. Three scenarios – the majority is wrong, partly wrong, or totally right – exhaust for Mill the possible permutations on the distribution of truth, and he holds that in each case the search for truth is best served by allowing free discussion.

Mill thinks history repeatedly demonstrates this process at work and offered Christianity as an illustrative example. By suppressing opposition to it over the centuries Christians ironically weakened rather than strengthened Christian belief. Mill thinks this explains the decline of Christianity in the modern world. They forgot why they were Christians.

Being classically liberal

Mises on feminism

An opportunity lost – to expel #WesternAustralia from the rest of Australia and seal the border

Western Australian secessionists, in common with Scottish nationalists, really do like to dictate the terms of their succession which always includes an open border and a generous financial settlement regarding division of federal government debts.

How arrogant. Why should parting be sweet? If you do not want us, why should we want you. If you want to find your own destiny, you can find it good and hard.

Applied welfare economics was never value free, but applied price theory is @TimothyTTaylor

The first words uttered in my first lecture in applied welfare economics by Bob Rutherford were ‘this course starts with an explicit political position – that of liberalism’. I never forgot that.

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Source: CONVERSABLE ECONOMIST: Crossing the Ravine from Economic Theory to Policy Advice.

This leads us to Robert and Zeckhauser’s taxonomy of disagreement:

Positive disagreements can be over questions of:
1. Scope: what elements of the world one is trying to understand?
2. Model: what mechanisms explain the behaviour of the world?
3. Estimate: what estimates of the model’s parameters are thought to obtain in particular contexts?

Values disagreements can be over questions of:
1. Standing: who counts?
2. Criteria: what counts?
3. Weights: how much different individuals and criteria count?

Any positive analysis tends to include elements of scope, model, and estimation, though often these elements intertwine; they frequently feature in debates in an implicit or undifferentiated manner. Likewise, normative analysis will also include elements of standing, criteria, and weights, whether or not these distinctions are recognised.

The origin of political disagreement is a broad church indeed in a liberal democracy. Those you disagree with are not evil, they just disagree with you. As Karl Popper observed:

There are many difficulties impeding the rapid spread of reasonableness. One of the main difficulties is that it always takes two to make a discussion reasonable. Each of the parties must be ready to learn from the other.

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NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

“We do not believe any group of men adequate enough or wise enough to operate without scrutiny or without criticism. We know that the only way to avoid error is to detect it, that the only way to detect it is to be free to inquire. We know that in secrecy error undetected will flourish and subvert”. - J Robert Oppenheimer.