Florida’s One-Man Laffer Curve

Inflation is having an effect on everything, even policy analysis. Back in 2013, I wrote that Phil Mickelson was “California’s One-Man Laffer Curve” because he wanted to escape the Golden State to save about $1.2 million per year in taxes. But now, when a goose that lays golden eggs wants to escape, the numbers are […]

Florida’s One-Man Laffer Curve

Global GDP

Cool chart which is split up by regions so it’s easy to find nations like little old New Zealand ($US 252 billion) and Israel ($539 billion). I was a little surprised at the latter as I thought they’d be much bigger with all the high tech companies they have, as well as having a population […]

Global GDP

T. C. Koopmans Demolishes the Phillips Curve as a Guide to Policy

Nobel Laureate T. C. Koopmans wrote one of the most famous economics articles of the twentieth century, “Measurement Without Theory,” a devastating review of an important, and in many ways useful and meritorious, study of business cycles by two of the fathers of empirical business-cycles research, Arthur F. Burns and Wesley C. Mitchell, Measuring Business […]

T. C. Koopmans Demolishes the Phillips Curve as a Guide to Policy

Charles Moore: The political class is only just realising that voters prefer prosperity over climate jingoism

By Paul Homewood From The Telegraph:       Labour’s green U-turn reflects the shifting sands of climate policy   If you want to see how the politics of climate change are shifting, compare today with late 2009. In both cases, a general election was approaching.   In October 2009, with the Copenhagen climate summit […]

Charles Moore: The political class is only just realising that voters prefer prosperity over climate jingoism

The Great Fact

https://www.facebook.com/share/p/NWuJxkrxYcNVweK8/?mibextid=r6DZeo

What’s the Right Interest Rate for the Fed Anyway?

Standard models watched by economists at the Federal Reserve and elsewhere suggest that rates should now be lowerBy Justin Lahart of The WSJ. Excerpt:”So where should rates be? There has been a lot of focus recently on the long-term neutral rate—the just-right level of rates for when inflation is at the Fed’s 2% target, and…

What’s the Right Interest Rate for the Fed Anyway?

The Conway speech

I’ve been rather tied up with other stuff for the last few weeks (including here) which is why I’ve not previously gotten round to writing about the first piece of monetary policy communications from our Reserve Bank this year.  That was the “speech” by the Bank’s chief economist (and MPC) member Paul Conway given to […]

The Conway speech

Once were a trading nation

I’ve used here before the snippet from older books that in the decades before the Second World War it was generally accepted that New Zealand had the highest value of foreign trade per capita of any country.  Estimates of historical GDP per capita suggest we also had among the very highest levels of real GDP […]

Once were a trading nation

Some Links

TweetWriting in the Wall Street Journal, David Henderson and Charley Hooper explain why we should be thankful for high drug prices. Two slices: For Americans, paying for the discovery and development of new drugs rests on our shoulders. If we pay, we get new lifesaving medicines. If we don’t, we don’t. Almost all new drugs…

Some Links

The Great Fact

https://www.facebook.com/share/p/Hfb2C8uPs2b9Rdaq/?mibextid=xfxF2i

The Euro at 25

The euro technically started in 1999, when the 11 founding European members of the currency agreed to keep their exchange rates fixed and to hand over monetary policy to the European Central Bank. The euro then became the actual currency that people and firms used in 2002. I confess that, back in the early 1990s,…

The Euro at 25

Will Milei succeed in Argentina?

I give him a 30-40% chance, which is perhaps generous because I am rooting for him.  Bryan Caplan, who is more optimistic, offers some analysis and estimates that Milei needs to close a fiscal gap of about five percent of gdp. I have two major worries.  First, if Milei approaches fiscal success, the opposing parties […]

Will Milei succeed in Argentina?

Shift to renewable energy would make economic growth impossible, says expert

By Paul Homewood h/t Philip Bratby     Even climatologists are beginning to realise that the emperor has no clothes!       Economic growth as we know it is impossible if governments shift to 100 per cent renewable energy, a renowned French climatologist has said. Jean-Marc Jancovici, the author of World Without End, the […]

Shift to renewable energy would make economic growth impossible, says expert

Milei Speaks Truth to WEF Elite Power

Argentina’s President Javier Milei had a warning for those attending the annual WEF meeting in Davos, Switzerland; ‘the Western world is in danger’ from ‘collectivist experiments’ such as Diversity, Equity and Inclusion (DEI), and has called on the world to reject socialism and instead embrace “free enterprise capitalism” to end global poverty. H/T zerohedge “Today, […]

Milei Speaks Truth to WEF Elite Power

Avoiding scrutiny

Regular readers will recall that I have, intermittently, been on the trail of the approach taken to the selection (and rejection) of external MPC members when the current crop were first appointed in 2019. I have been pursuing the matter since a highly credible person who was interested in being considered for appointment told me that […]

Avoiding scrutiny

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NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

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