NZ is in the middle of the pack in reducing poverty rates through redistribution

The figure shows pre-transfer and post-transfer poverty rates among OECD countries (mostly the advanced economies).  The former (pre-transfer) are the market-driven poverty rates, before the tax and transfer systems kick in.

Source: OECD, *Poverty thresholds: 50% of median income.

HT: International Poverty Comparisons: What Do They Tell Us about Causes? | Jared Bernstein | On the Economy.

Bias in the bias against inheriting riches

China’s richest lawmakers make America’s look straight up poor

The development economics of Confucius

In a country well governed, poverty is something to be ashamed of. In a country badly governed, wealth is something to be ashamed of.  - Confucius

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Americans are making a big mistake about health care funding – Vox

Almost everyone who has health insurance in the United States gets help from the government to afford it.

For the elderly, that’s Medicare. For the disabled and the poor, that’s Medicaid. For full-time workers it’s the tax subsidy for employer-provided health insurance.

via Americans are making a big mistake about health care – Vox.

Democrats are under more pressure from interest groups to pass policy

democrat interest groups

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Why does the Left in New Zealand support old age pensions for millionaires?

Pensioners

Michael Littlewood from the Retirement Policy and Research Centre has a commentary on redesigning NZ Superannuation. He says (and I agree) that we should not just look at one issue in isolation or just the cost.

He highlights eight key design features that should be agreed on. They are:

  • Universal or means-tested (I favour means-tested if the administrative costs of doing so are not prohibitive)
  • Age of entitlement (I favour increasing it and tying it to life expectancy)
  • Residency test – how long should someone live here to quality. The current threshold is ten years and I think it should be higher. It used to be 25 years.
  • The level. Currently is 43% of the net average wage for a single person. Set at 66% of  the after-tax national average wage for a couple.
  • How to revalue? Is indexed to both CPI and the average wage.
  • How to pay for it? Pay as you go and partially pre-funded. Should it be both? What should the mix be?
  • Payments to single people? Why does a married couple get less than two singles living together?
  • Overseas pensions? The rules for deducting overseas pensions are inconsistent

via Redesigning NZ Super | Kiwiblog.

I was walking back to the office with a mate who I will call the ecological socialist after a meeting with the government department responsible for income support to old age people in New Zealand.

We were both shaky our heads in utter disbelief. We couldn’t understand their idea of defending an old age pension that is free of any means test been paid to millionaires on the grounds of egalitarianism.

foodstampsphone.jpg

By coincidence, we are both Australians where the old age pension is means tested. We couldn’t understand in any way, shape or form the notion of paying old age pensions to rich people when that money could be used to increase the old age pension for those who we lived in ordinary circumstances all their lives and couldn’t save for their retirement.

The Great Enrichment since 1979 in the USA

Over the past one-, two-, and three-decade periods, both middle class and poor households have experienced noticeable gains in living standards. Their gains are slower than those experienced by middle-income families in the earlier post-war era, but the gains are well above zero.

In 1980, in-kind benefits and employer and government spending on health insurance accounted for just 6% of the after-tax incomes of households in the middle one-fifth of the distribution. By 2010 these in-kind income sources represented 17% of middle class households’ after-tax income

…The broadest and most accurate measures of household income are published by the CBO. CBO’s newest estimates confirm the long-term trend toward greater inequality, driven mainly by turbo-charged gains in market income at the very top of the distribution. The market incomes of the top 1% are extraordinarily cyclical, however. They soar in economic expansions and plunge in recessions. Income changes since 2007 fit this pattern.

What many observers miss, however, is the success of the nation’s tax and transfer systems in protecting low- and middle-income Americans against the full effects of a depressed economy.

via Gary Burtless

Charts showing everyone is seriously richer after-taxes

income-growth-disparity-full

Everyone is 30-50% richer.

Chart 18

Average Federal Tax Rates, by Income Group, 1979 to 2011

Microsoft PowerPoint - Group C Federal Budget (KF).pptx [Read-Only]

Ordinary Americans do not pay much in taxes.

CBO

Low income Americans receive large amounts of government transfers and increases their income by at least 50%

NY Times

The middle-class is getting seriously smaller because more of them are getting richer

Ricardian equivalence alert: Millennials and the funding of their retirements

image

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The working class is missing from US political discourse

One of the things I noticed in the 2008 US presidential campaign was everyone was appealing for the middle class vote. Presidential primary and general election debates were about how things were getting harder for the middle-class and the Republican or Democratic candidate who happen to be pitching for votes would stand up for the middle-class better than their competition in the presidential primary or general election at hand.

Another big feature in the 2008 presidential campaign was Joe the plumber. This was the small businessman who asked then candidate Obama at a rope line three days before the final presidential debate about his plans to put up taxes. Obama replied he wanted to spread the wealth around. Obama’s response was

It’s not that I want to punish your success. I just want to make sure that everybody who is behind you, that they’ve got a chance at success, too… My attitude is that if the economy’s good for folks from the bottom up, it’s gonna be good for everybody.

If you’ve got a plumbing business, you’re gonna be better off… if you’ve got a whole bunch of customers who can afford to hire you, and right now everybody’s so pinched that business is bad for everybody and I think when you spread the wealth around, it’s good for everybody

Andrew Cherlin did the service counting up references to the working class in State of the Union addresses since President Obama was elected.

In his State of the Union addresses, Obama has used the term middle class 28 times. But he has never said “working class” except in 2011, when he described Vice President Biden, who was seated behind him, as “a working-class kid from Scranton.

This dearth of references to the working class is no surprise in light of Director’s Law and the median voter theorem. Politicians who do not pitch to the American middle class will not win elections unless there is a lot of expressive voting by the educated middle class. In general social surveys of Americans, 44% identify as working class and 44%  identify as middle class.

Republicans consistently win voters making $50,000 or more – the U.S. median income. The margin doesn’t vary much: In 2012, Mitt Romney got 53% of this group’s vote; in 2010, Republican House candidates got 55%.

The margin by which the Republicans win income brackets above 50,000 doesn’t vary much if you just look at those earning above $100,000 or those earning between $50,000 and $75,000. These margins only matter in a close election, a very close election.

Democrats consistently win voters making less than the median but the margin varies.  Whether the Democrats win these voters earning less than $50,000 by a 10-point or a 20-point margin tells you who won every national election for the past decade.

The Democrats would also do well among the college educated vote. Obama won this over Romney and 2012 by 10 percentage points. This may explain why the Democrats are slightly conflicting: they must win the working class vote as well as the college educated vote to win.

Andrew Cherlin didn’t give many reasons for the disappearance of working class from modern American political discourse, but he showed some insight into expressive politics when he observed that:

Politicians may prefer to call working-class families by the class position they aspire to rather than the one they hold.

Is the middle-class disappearing?

Hayek supported a guaranteed minimum income for all

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What does the media and Left give top athletes a pass on their membership of the top 0.1%?

Postwar vs. New Gilded Age: How did the middle class do?

Noahpinion: Postwar vs. New Gilded Age: How did the middle class do?.

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