@TransportBlog forgets the car ownership data it published

Transport Blog was making much of some data about how a lot of people used public transport and New Zealand in the 1950s:

Take Auckland as an example. According to Paul Mees [Transport for Suburbia, p. 21], in 1954 Auckland’s public transport network “accounted for 58 per cent of trips by motorized modes, private transport only 42 per cent. When walking and cycling, which were not surveyed, are taken into account, it is likely that fewer than a third of daily trips were by car.”

… public spending to enable car travel did not respond to existing demand – it was intended to shape future demand. (And in doing so, change the shape of the city).


“roads first” transport policies seem less like an exercise in meeting demands, and more of a component of a large social engineering programme.

Transport Blog forgot previous data it dugout on trends in car ownership per capita in New Zealand since 1925. There is an explosive growth in car ownership from the 1950s onwards with the post-war economic boom. The roadbuilding that followed responded to this growing wealth of the New Zealand people rather than the other way round.

Source: The Infernal Combustion Engine « transportblog.co.nz.

People like owing and driving cars. Transport Blog begrudgingly admits in its post today that cars have some advantages.

Young people save up to buy a car not because they are duped by the enemies of public transport, they save because a car is a good way to get around.

Privately owned cars are more comfortable, faster, more private, more convenient in trip timing, and more flexible for multiple tasks on one trip than any form of public transit. What cannot be avoided as Anthony Downs explains is:

As household incomes rise around the world, more and more people shift from slower, less expensive modes of movement to privately owned cars and trucks.

Downs argues that it is time to settle down and accept what cities are:

…peak-hour traffic congestion is inescapable in large modern metropolitan areas the world over. Business firms want most people on the job during the same hours so that workers can interact efficiently. Many firms also want to locate in low-density establishments scattered across the landscape.

Households want a range of choices of where to live and work, and most want to live in low-density settlements that are separate from poorer households, use private vehicles for most travel and be able to carry out multiple errands on a single trip.

No asymmetric marriage premium in commuting: the family commuting gap for mothers and fathers travelling to and from work by school age of child in the UK, Germany, France and Italy

Few labour market statistics have any meaning unless broken down by gender. The compensating differentials that explain much of the family pay gap extend strongly to commuting times.

image

Source: OECD Family Database – OECD, Table LMF2.6.A.

Mothers commute a good 15 to 20 minutes less than fathers in the UK, Italy, Germany and France. Single women commute 5 to 10 minutes further than mothers. Single men and fathers commute much the same distance.

NZ households spending 30% plus of disposable income on housing, 1988–2013

The reverse gender gap in commuting times across the OECD @JulieAnneGenter

Commuting times need to be incorporated into calculations of the gender wage gap because they do represent a serious fixed cost of working that is higher for men than for women.

image

Source: OECD Family Database.

Not only is the commuting time for female workers less, there is much less variation across the OECD member countries than for men.

The figures for New Zealand are so low that they are suspicious.

Half of Australians live in the red areas

NZ, Oz & US real housing price index, January 1975 – September 2015 @philtwyford @JulieAnneGenter

Notice that New Zealand housing prices were pretty flat until the passage of the Resource Management Act in 1993.

Source: International House Price Database – Dallas Fed.

Rooms per person across the OECD member countries

There are quite large differences in the number of rooms per person in the European offshoots and the countries in Europe. Americans have much more room per person than the much exalted welfare states of northern Europe.

image

Source:  OECD Better Life Index  – Data extracted on 07 Jan 2016 06:55 UTC (GMT) from OECD.Stat

Jason Furman on residential housing supply, NIMBYism, and economic growth

Central Park in New York City

@TransportBlog @JulieAnneGenter community outrage at new bike lane death trap in Island Bay

Source: Wellington’s Island Bay cycleway has left residents confused and angry | Stuff.co.nz.

We drove past this bicycle death trap in island Bay in Wellington the other weekend. The first thing I noticed is a lot of bicycle will be sideswiped as passengers in cars open their left door not expecting anybody to be there. The bike lane also narrows the road from buses. Residents now have a lot of trouble safely getting out of their houses without both are running over bicyclists and seeing oncoming cars. Further proof that bikes are a killer green technology.

Source: Wellington’s Island Bay cycleway has left residents confused and angry | Stuff.co.nz.

Part of the nonsense behind this death trap is that more people ride their bike if they can do so safely such as on this death trap according to the local mayor:

Wellington Mayor Celia Wade-Brown acknowledged the recent social media backlash – which she dubbed “bike-lash” – but was confident it would simmer down once the cycleway was complete.

She pointed to the council’s research, which showed 76 per cent of Wellingtonians would cycle more if cycling was safer.

“And I think a scientific survey is a clearer indication [of Wellingtonians’ views on the cycleway] than the number of social media likes or dislikes.”

Obviously our local mayor has not heard of the social acceptability bias that arises when answering questions about whether or whether not they are use fashionable forms of transport.

The number of people in Wellington taking a bicycle to work in Wellington is trivial. Three times as many walk to work as take a bike to work in Wellington.

Source: New Zealand Transport Agency.

The Twitter Left mantra as championed by the Greens and Transport Blog is that it would all be so much different we invested a little bit more in public transport is a myth.

The experience in Europe and North America is that if you make buses free, the cheapies that currently bike take the bus or train. In addition, the street people find it comfortable warm place to hang out when during the day which drives the regular customers away.

A 2002 report released by the National Center for Transportation Research indicated that the lack of fares attracted hordes of young people, who brought with them a culture of vandalism, graffiti, and bad behavior—which all necessitated costly maintenance. The lure of “free,” the report implied, attracted the “wrong” crowd—the “right” crowd, of course, being wealthier people with cars, who aren’t very sensitive to price changes.

In Wellington CBD, average value of commercial building is almost halved with a red or yellow sticker

Within the Wellington CBD, the average value of a commercial building is almost halved if it receives a legally binding earthquake-prone declaration. Discounts on specific buildings will vary around this average level, reflecting a number of factors such as costs of remediation and the nature of existing rental agreements.

Source: Before a Fall: Impacts of Earthquake Regulation and Building Codes on the Commercial Building Market | Motu

Early Film Footage of London

Auckland, Wellington and Canterbury housing costs to income ratios since 2007

Global deaths from indoor and outdoor pollution

@TransportBlog @JulieAnneGenter mode of commuting in Auckland, Wellington and Christchurch

Jim Rose's avatarUtopia, you are standing in it!

Bugger all people commute by bus or train outside of Wellington. Even in Wellington taking the bus or the train has trouble staying well ahead of walking to work.

Source: Ministry of Transport. (2015).  25 years of New Zealand travel: New Zealand household travel 1989–2014. Wellington: Ministry of Transport.

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