On the withering away of the Labour Party

Bang in the middle

John Quiggin made an interesting point the other day that explains why the Australian Labor Party caucus is no longer the cream of the working class:

In 1945, the largest single occupational group in Australia (and an archetypal group of Labor supporters) were railwaymen (there were almost no women in the industry).

By the 1970s, the largest occupational group, also becoming the archetypal group of Labor supporters. were schoolteachers.

Quiggin was not making the point I am making, but his data was instructive.

On the decline

The traditional labour voter of days gone by was socially conservative, fiscally conservative, strict on educational standards and believed in hard work, self-improvement and being frugal. They agreed with Dalton Trumbo who said:

I never considered the working class anything other than something to get out of.

Working for Families and work incentives

Figure 18: Effective marginal tax rates (year ending March 2013, non-beneficiaries, in percentages)

There are 3.38 million individual taxpayers. Of these, about 120,000 (3.4 percent) face EMTRs over 60%, 120,000 (3.4 percent) face EMTRs between 50% and 60%, and 160,000 (4.5 percent) face EMTRs between 40% and 50%. Slightly more than 88 percent of taxpayers face EMTRs below 40%.

HT: New-Zealand-tax-system-and-how-it-compares-internationally

One World Trade Center is finally open for business. All 12 years of construction in one gif!

https://twitter.com/HistoricalPics/status/529417196670558208

Wellington City Council builds inner city children’s sandpit next to red-stickered buildings marked for collapse in next earthquake

Average Marginal Income Tax Rates for New Zealand, 1907-2009 (WP 12/04) — The Treasury – New Zealand

Figure 5 - AMTRs for New Zealand 1907-2009   .

Note:  Average marginal tax rate calculations exclude the impact of ACC levies, the Benefit system and the Family Tax Credit (FTC) system which, at various times since the 1970s, involved lump sum transfers to lower income families with children that were withdrawn at higher income levels at rates of up to 30c/$, thereby adding to effective MTRs.

Comment: The average marginal tax rate has been pretty stable in New Zealand since about 1990 excepting for a drop in the late 1990s and then an increase in 1999.

via http://www.treasury.govt.nz/publications/research-policy/wp/2012/12-04

The Political Bias of Workers by Profession | Business Insider

Academics crowdpac donor politics

via http://www.businessinsider.com.au/charts-show-the-political-bias-of-each-profession-2014-11

The quality of public policy debate in NZ: is the sale of surplus public housing an asset sale (privatisation)?

Prior to the October 2014 election, Prime Minister Key promised that there will be no further asset sales.

After the election, he announced an intention to possibly sell billions of dollars in public housing to use the sales to buy new public housing in other parts of New Zealand, such as in the suburbs and the perimeter of cities.

This was immediately denounced by the opposition as a broken election promise. Apparently a promise not to sell any further state owned enterprises is now interpreted not to sell any assets in the government balance sheet.

Journalists swallowed this criticism of the opposition, hook, line and sinker. The media seems to think that buying and selling of surplus government assets by Housing New Zealand and other social agencies is somehow unusual or new.

Any sensible observer would think it would be barmy for Housing New Zealand to have a whole bunch of old, rundown public houses purchased in the middle of the 20th century in the inner cities that are now worth a million of dollars each and not consider selling them.

These million-dollar public houses could be sold to finance the construction or purchase of several new houses for social housing purposes out in the suburbs.

What is the purpose of public housing? It is supposed to have something to do with helping the poor.

That would include managing the stock of public houses so that inner-city houses now worth a fortune are sold to finance more houses in the suburbs where most of the poor live.

Bringing Labor together

image

HT: sinclair davidson

Britain is a world leader in exporting creeps » Nick Cohen

The British recruits who have joined Isis are not exceptions. They flourish in a culture in which it is so commonplace to offer support to authoritarian regimes and movements that few bother to condemn it.

Free speech ought to mean the freedom to challenge and criticise in all except the most tightly defined circumstances. Instead in Britain tolerance has become indifference; a lazy desire to live in our comfortable bubbles.

The dominant culture views vigorous criticism as rude or insensitive – or, to use that popular and completely meaningless school-prefect putdown, “inappropriate.” More often that not, criticism is taken down and used as evidence of the critic’s failings, his or her obsessions and phobias.

We cannot be bothered to challenge fanatics. We say we don’t want to ‘force our views on others’ – as if argument were physical coercion. And if those others leave England to enslave Kurdish women, or applaud kleptomaniac dictators, we are not responsible. We never concerned ourselves with their affairs, nor argued with them for a moment.

Many poisonous plants have bloomed in this dank climate.

via Britain is a world leader in exporting creeps » Spectator Blogs.

25 years ago today in East Berlin

https://twitter.com/dominic_laurie/status/529660810898198528

Andrew Atkin explains how housing affordability has been destroyed in New Zealand.

The Feed the Kids Bill still leaves their parents to go hungry!

The Feed the Kids Bill that has been reintroduced into the new New Zealand Parliament still contains no provision to feed the parents who are too poor to make their children breakfast.

Why are these hungry parents not invited for breakfast as well? No parent would have breakfast if their children was to go hungry. Both the parent and child must have gone hungry that morning, perhaps morning after morning. There is no other charitable explanation.

The Bill aims to set up government funded breakfast and lunch programmes in all decile 1-2 schools. The cost is $100 million a year – including food, staffing, administration, monitoring and evaluation.

Lindsay Mitchell was on the money when she wrote:

Even parents reliant on a benefit are paid enough to provide some fruit and modest sandwiches daily.

An inability to do so is a symptom of a greater problem requiring scrutiny – for the sake of their child.

“The ‘income management’ regime provides a response to genuinely hungry children.

It may interest you that even Labour advocated for extended income management in its election manifesto.

Their 2014 ‘Social Development’ policy paper proposed, “…allow[ing] income management to be used as a tool by social agencies where there are known child protection issues and it is considered in the best interests of the child, especially where there are gambling, drug and alcohol issues involved.”

Hungry children is a child protection issue. Parents who fail to feed their children should come to the attention of the child protection authorities. Those on the benefit should be subject to income management  because they clearly are spending their money elsewhere.

On the Left, there is a refusal to discuss the role of addiction and incompetent parenting in child poverty. The 2014 election manifesto of the Labour Party is a welcome departure from that tradition of denial.

Down and Out in America: only 82% of households below the poverty line have air conditioning!

line chart:air conditioning in U.S.

  • Air conditioning equipment is more common in single family homes (89%) than in housing units in apartment buildings (82%). 
  • 18 percent of households below the poverty line do not have any air conditioning equipment at all.
  • About a third of households below the poverty line use room air conditioning compared to 15% of households with an income above $100,000.
  • In contrast, about 75% of households with incomes above $100,000 use central air conditioning compared to just 44% of households below the poverty line. 

via Residential Energy Consumption Survey (RECS) – Analysis & Projections – U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

Solutions should reflect the problem definition and analysis: Duncan Garner on child poverty

Duncan Garner wrote a passionate column yesterday in the local paper calling for gutsy action on child poverty.

His analysis of the causes of child poverty in New Zealand was good. Garner’s solutions had nothing to do with what he had identified as the causes of child poverty. As Garner himself wrote:

… in order to tackle poverty it’s important to attempt to define what it means today.

Poverty is children living in crowded, damp homes who don’t get three square meals a day.

They may not have their own bed, they won’t see a doctor when they’re sick and many of them will be admitted to hospital with serious poverty-related illnesses such as respiratory problems and skin infections.

They may live in households where paying the rent accounts for 60 per cent of the family’s income every week.

Garner then discussed the plight of one particular family in Auckland:

The parents are nice people, with seven children.

They shared a tiny home with three other adults and another child.

Dad works full-time at a meat factory and they had been waiting 10 months for a state house. They had beds in the dining room and lounge.

They couldn’t afford the cost of a private rental home. One son, aged 11, had a serious lung problem. I saw poverty in action that day and it was deeply disturbing. I highlighted their plight on my radio show and within weeks a shamed Housing NZ had found them a home.

The family Garner discussed is in a tiny house because they lacked the income to rent a better one. They must rely on social housing provided by government with income related rents.

Recurring through his problem definition is the impact that rising housing costs is having on the poor.

Nonetheless, Garner then advocates cash payments to low income families, a tax credit system seen as more generous and inclusive, and a back to school bonus without addressing the supply of housing.

The evidence is overwhelming in New Zealand that the main driver of the increases in the child poverty since the 1980s is rising housing costs.

In the longer run after housing costs child poverty rates in 2013 were close to double what they were in the late 1980s mainly because housing costs in 2013 were much higher relative to income than they were in the late 1980s.

– Bryan Perry, 2014 Household Incomes Report – Key Findings. Ministry of Social Development (July 2014).

Any policy to reduce child poverty must increase the supply of houses by reducing regulatory restrictions on the supply of land.

The Metropolitan Limit confines the expansion of Auckland beyond the existing built-up area. This regulatory constraint explains the exceptionally high housing price-income ratio of Auckland.

The limit imposed on the horizontal expansion of the city in green fields encourages increases in residential prices. As demand for new housing increases, no new land supply can enter the market and stem price rises in response to this increased demand.

urban limit

If you serious about child poverty, you have to criticise government regulation: the dead hand of the Resource Management Act (RMA) on the poor and the vulnerable.

Progressive Feminism Exposed

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