Whatever happened to progressivism?
19 Mar 2015 Leave a comment
in liberalism, politics - Australia, politics - New Zealand, politics - USA Tags: Anti-Science left, Leftover Left, quackery
Nearly half of baby boomers say they expect to work beyond 65
18 Mar 2015 Leave a comment
in labour economics, labour supply, occupational choice, politics - Australia, politics - New Zealand, politics - USA Tags: ageing society, economics of retirement, labour demographics
The lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender population vote for parties that welcome them
18 Mar 2015 Leave a comment
in liberalism, politics - Australia, politics - New Zealand, politics - USA, Public Choice Tags: expressive voting, voter demographics
The lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender population is one of the most Democratic demographic groups in the country. According to the 2012 national exit polls conducted by the National Election Pool, gay, lesbian, and bisexual adults voted for Barack Obama over Mitt Romney by more than three-to-one (76% vs. 22%).
This Democratic advantage can be seen in the partisan identification of LGBT adults, a majority of whom are Democrats. It also expresses itself in policy preferences across a range of issues, including size of government, attitudes about gun policy and immigration…
Half of LGBT adults (50%) self-identify as liberal, 37% are moderate, and just 12% say they are conservative.

That’s hardly surprising that people vote for the parties that welcome them given the deep hostility of the Republican Party on lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender issues. Until the middle of the 20th century, few black Americans voted for the Democratic party because it was the party of racism. People rarely vote for parties that really dislike them.

The transferability of these American results on partisanship to New Zealand is rather limited because there is no cultural war as there is in the USA currently over same-sex marriages. A same-sex marriage bill passed the New Zealand Parliament in 2013 fairly easily. The Christian based socially conservative parties in New Zealand are pretty tame in their rhetoric and still struggling to get into Parliament.

As such, the centre right parties in New Zealand aren’t seen as particularly hostile to the lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender population. On the same-sex marriage bill, for example, the National Party split evenly on voting for and against, reflecting its moderation in just about every issue.

People of all sexualities can vote for New Zealand parties on grounds other than the fact of how welcoming they are to who they are. That makes the American results on partisanship and sexuality less relevant to New Zealand
Edward Snowden misspoke on a secret American spy base located in Auckland
17 Mar 2015 Leave a comment
in politics - New Zealand, politics - USA Tags: 2014 New Zealand election, conspiracy theories, conspiratorial left, Edward Snowden, paranoid conspiracies, Twitter left
Edward Snowden made a last-minute intervention in the recent New Zealand election to claim that there is a secret American spy base located in Auckland. I have persistently asked on Twitter where it is so I can look it up on Google maps Street.
Today, Bryce Edwards revealed in a reply to one of my tweets that Edward Snowden got mixed up. It is yet to be revealed where this secret spy base really is so I can still look it up on Google Maps Street view.
If there is a secret spy base anywhere in New Zealand, I’m sure the neighbours would have noticed and lodged objections to the resource consent for the planning permission because of all the cell towers.

The GCSB’s Waihopai spy station pictured above which was built decades ago in rural New Zealand is decidedly conspicuous.

Why the global economy is growing, but CO2 emissions aren’t – The Washington Post
17 Mar 2015 Leave a comment
in energy economics, environmental economics, politics - Australia, politics - New Zealand, politics - USA Tags: global warming
NZ is in the middle of the pack in reducing poverty rates through redistribution
16 Mar 2015 Leave a comment
in income redistribution, labour economics, politics - Australia, politics - New Zealand, politics - USA, poverty and inequality, welfare reform Tags: child poverty, welfare state
The figure shows pre-transfer and post-transfer poverty rates among OECD countries (mostly the advanced economies). The former (pre-transfer) are the market-driven poverty rates, before the tax and transfer systems kick in.

Source: OECD, *Poverty thresholds: 50% of median income.
Maybe the future is not solar and wind, so those mass layoffs of climate alarmists are cancelled
16 Mar 2015 Leave a comment
in energy economics, environmental economics, politics - Australia, politics - New Zealand, politics - USA Tags: Big Solar, Big Wind, climate alarmists, green rentseeking, solar power, wind power



via eia.gov
The relationship between energy use & GDP
Technology is getting much more efficient
(Source bit.ly/1Anl8AJ) http://t.co/7zYDhXv2lu—
Max Roser (@MaxCRoser) March 15, 2015
RT if you think this summarises the Anti-Science Left
15 Mar 2015 Leave a comment
in economics of information, economics of media and culture, economics of regulation, environmental economics, global warming, health economics, politics - Australia, politics - New Zealand, politics - USA Tags: Anti-Science left, conjecture and refutation, expressive voting, Green Left, progressive left, rational ignorance, rational irrationality
Cats Are Democrats, Dogs Are Republicans
13 Mar 2015 Leave a comment
in cats, liberalism, politics - Australia, politics - New Zealand, politics - USA Tags: cats, dogs
The size of election ballot papers in Australia
13 Mar 2015 Leave a comment
in politics - Australia, politics - New Zealand Tags: Australian elections
Thankfully only 16 of the 393 candidates running for the New South Wales Legislative Council have to have a preference from 1 to 16 to cast a valid vote.
https://twitter.com/_HelenDale/status/575926340303486978
In Senate elections, if you want to vote for individual candidates, you must fill out 100 or more boxes ranking each of the 100 or more candidates without error from say 1 to 100 to avoid your vote been declared informal.
There Is No Global Jihadist ‘Movement’ — Atlantic Mobile
13 Mar 2015 Leave a comment
Some nice charts about how ISIS is more a rabble that happens to survive because of the lack of unity among its many enemies which include the Iraqi government government and its army that runaway.


NZ taxpayers made a $20 million profit on its $30 billion state owned enterprises portfolio!
11 Mar 2015 Leave a comment
in economics of bureaucracy, industrial organisation, politics - New Zealand, privatisation Tags: privatisation, state owned enterprises
KiwiRail is such a dog that the Treasury reports on the rate of return to the taxpayer on the state owned enterprises portfolio by excluding KiwiRail from its calculations of rates of return.

The Treasury doesn’t do similar adjustments for state owned enterprises that are performing unusually well, so total shareholder return figures should be reported without this KiwiRail exception. If you buy a dog, you should own up to the fleas it spreads to the rest of your portfolio.
Trying to pretend that KiwiRail is just not there, or survives on the largess of someone other than the one and only New Zealand taxpayer, does no one any favours. This KiwiRail exception will have to apply for at least 10 years to the annual commercial portfolio report of the Treasury. I want to know the total shareholder return, including KiwiRail every year without exception or special pleading.

That total shareholder return of -8.2% in 2012 is worthy of comment too:
The portfolio generated a net loss after tax of $1.8 billion driven by a restructuring of KiwiRail’s balance sheet and reductions in bottom line results for Meridian and Solid Energy, affected by hydrology and coal market deterioration respectively.
It’s time for the government to wash its hands of Solid Energy and let it go bankrupt – updated
11 Mar 2015 1 Comment
in economics of bureaucracy, politics - New Zealand, survivor principle Tags: corporate welfare
Government owned mining company Solid Energy lost $182 million last year. It is already received nearly $200 million in corporate welfare in bailouts from the New Zealand taxpayer. It’s time to call a halt.

The Christchurch-based coalminer is negotiating with banks in a bid to reduce its $320 million debt. In 2013, its annual revenue dropped by a third to $631 million.
Solid Energy invested heavily on a strategy that energy prices were going to go up and up. That investment strategy was against the market sentiment of that time, much less afterwards and the collapse of oil prices.

While Prime Minister John Key said on March 2 that it was not the Government’s preferred option to put more taxpayer cash into Solid Energy, Minister of Finance Bill English flatly ruled out cash, loans or guarantees. I hope Bill English wins that political struggle at the Cabinet table for the sake of the long-suffering New Zealand taxpayer.

What is worse, the government has indemnified the directors of Solid Energy against unspecified liabilities thus giving them an open-ended cheque-book, from what I can see, to trade while insolvent:
State Owned Enterprises Minister Todd McClay confirmed last month that the Crown has offered an indemnity to the board of Solid Energy last year, but would not comment on what it was.
Asked if directors had raised concerns with him that they might be trading while insolvent, English said: “Any director of a company like this has that question uppermost in their mind. They need to be sure all the time that they’re not trading while insolvent.”
Directors’ duties regarding trading while insolvent is the last line of defence against financial irresponsibility. There are both civil liability and criminal penalties for trading while insolvent under company law.
Solid Energy has already been a black hole for nearly $200 million in taxpayers’ money as well as considerable bank write-offs of loans.
The company appeared before the Finance and Expenditure Select Committee of Parliament this morning. It told MPs the company was solvent and marginally cash positive, but looking at another significant loss this year.
It should be a matter of policy that the government, any government, should not indemnify directors of any company, be they government owned or not, for breaches of directors’ duties. It’s a matter of the rule of law and of governments not privileging itself in the marketplace at the expense of the taxpayer.
What is the point of having a State Owned Enterprises Act and setting up these businesses as companies with a duty to be as successful as a company not owned by the government if they don’t have to obey the most fundamental safeguards in company law when push comes to shove?
If these indemnities have indeed been issued by the government for breaches of directors’ duties regarding insolvency, and it seems as though they have been, what is the Crown liability to creditors if Solid Energy is indeed trading while insolvent? These indemnities may allow the creditors to pierce the corporate veil and sue the New Zealand government.
In the revenge of directors duties, the directors of banks and any other creditor will have a director’s duty to sue the New Zealand government for all it can get as a result of these indemnities.
At a minimum, the New Zealand government will have to settle out of court or go all the way to the Supreme Court because hundreds of millions of dollars are involved from the bank write-offs, past and present.
Naturally, the ideological blinkers of the opposition party in New Zealand prevents it from saying the obvious, which is calling for the Solid Energy to be put in receivership. The Labour Party spokesman on state owned enterprise attacked the stewardship of the Minister of Finance as a shareholding Minister, but had nothing to say in terms of solutions, including putting the company into receivership.
The Green Party did a little bit better in 2013 when its spokesman talked about a need for a transition to sustainable jobs – the Green party code for layoffs:
“The National Government need to take responsibility for their mismanagement of Solid Energy and cut their losses,” said Mr Hughes.
“The banks that made risky loans to Solid Energy need to bear the cost of their mistakes”. “Coal is not going to be the fuel of our future if we are to stabilise our climate”.
“New Zealanders and Solid Energy workers need a just transition into more sustainable jobs – jobs that don’t fry the planet.”
“The longer this Government effectively denies climate change, the more taxpayer money will go to subsidising coal and its foreign backers.”
Things are getting desperate when the Greens find a corporate welfare so appalling that they actually oppose it, if only because of support for lower carbon emissions. That is one green hypocrisy too many if it supported a bailout of a coal miner.
The leniency of the courts on owners of dogs responsible for vicious attacks on young children
11 Mar 2015 Leave a comment
in economics of crime, politics - New Zealand
The owner of four Staffordshire bull terrier-cross dogs that attacked 7-year-old Sakurako Uehara in the Bay of Plenty in early 2014 has been ordered to pay a $7500 emotional-harm payment. He had earlier avoided a conviction in the Rotorua District Court.

Sakurako chan suffered critical injuries from more than 100 bites to her face and all her limbs.
Her plastic surgeon said that she would probably need reconstruction treatment until she reached adulthood. A fundraiser organised by the Middlemore Foundation to support the family throughout her treatment amassed more than $200,000.
New Zealand law allows criminals to be discharged without conviction if they plead and beg enough to the court. This is just plain wrong. I don’t know of any similar system in other countries.
If you break the law, one of the penalties and it’s a very cheap penalty for society to impose, is the stigma of a criminal conviction. Yes, it means the convicted criminal will have trouble travelling internationally and passing police checks were jobs, but that’s the point. New Zealand already has a spent convictions law that allows convictions to be expunged from the record in most cases after seven years of good behaviour.
If the criminal concerned that showed more regard for his fellow humanity and didn’t break the law in the first place, he wouldn’t have these misfortunes which he visited on himself through his offending. Do the crime, do the time and at a minimum, be convicted.

The New Zealand Parliament increase the penalties for owning a dog that causes serious injury from three months to 3 years in 2003 in response to public outrage over a series of savage maulings of children.
Some years later, a dog mauled a 51-year-old woman to death. The owner, who was her nephew, pleaded guilty and received 18 months in prison.
The court said that the starting point for his sentence was 27 months, but this was reduced by the judge to 18 months because he went on television and offered to plead guilty on the day the offence. He regarded his aunt is his second mother. This sentence was one of the few cases I know where the remorse of the offender was truly genuine and he deserved a significant discount on his sentence.
If you own four big strong dogs, and they savage a small child with life scarring injuries, you should expect to go to prison and for a considerable period of time. Strong penalties align incentives properly to make sure that dogs are well trained and any sign of bad behaviour is dealt with early and, if necessary by an early rehousing to doggie heaven.
Nothing like the prospect of a spell in prison to focus the mind of dog owners otherwise blinded by love for their pet.
Tracy Watkins doesn’t know what a terrorist act is
11 Mar 2015 Leave a comment
in economics of crime, law and economics, politics - New Zealand
Tracy Watkins really dropped the ball today in the Dominion Post when she prevaricated on whether a threat to contaminate infant formula with 1080 poison unless the Government stops using the poison for pest eradication by March this year was a terrorist act:
There will also be questions over its rush to label it a terrorist act. Police were more circumspect, labelling it a criminal act.
Tracy Watkins is normally an astute observer, but this time she really dropped the ball. It is obvious that a threat of mass poisoning unless the government bends to your will is terrorism. If it isn’t, what is?


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