Source: Pensions at a Glance 2015 – Statistics – OECD iLibrary.
US maternal employment rates by number and age of children
18 Dec 2015 Leave a comment
in discrimination, gender, labour economics, labour supply, politics - USA, poverty and inequality, welfare reform Tags: economics of fertility, female labour force participation, maternal labour force participation, single mothers
The 35 year old American woman, 1970-2010
16 Dec 2015 Leave a comment
in economics of love and marriage, gender, labour economics, population economics Tags: economics of fertility, economics of the family, family demographics, female labour force participation, labour demographics
how India will pass China to become world’s most populous country
05 Dec 2015 Leave a comment
in development economics, economic history, economics, growth miracles, population economics Tags: ageing society, China, economics of fertility, India, Population demographics
@economicpolicy gathers more evidence of a waning gender pay gap @joshbivens_DC @eliselgould
22 Nov 2015 Leave a comment
in applied price theory, discrimination, economic history, gender, human capital, labour economics, labour supply, minimum wage, occupational choice, poverty and inequality Tags: asymmetric marriage premium, Claudia Goldin, compensating differentials, economics of fertility, gender wage gap, marriage and divorce, power couples
As part of a large paper calling for massive government intervention, the Economic Policy Institute, impeccably left-wing, massed a considerable amount of evidence about the withering away of the gender wage gap and anomalies in what is left of that gap. None of these anomalies bolster the case for more regulation of the labour market.
The first of their charts showed the large reduction in the gender wage gap in the USA. Women’s wages have been increasing consistently over the last 40 years or so. The second of their tweeted charts shows that women of all races consistently outperformed men in wages growth, often by a large margin.
Their most interesting chart is about how the gender gap is not only highest among top earners, their pay gap has not fallen at all in the last 40 years. If anything, that gender wage gap is rising at the top end of the labour market albeit slowly. Progress in closing the gender gap been pretty consistent at the lower pay levels. That progress is certainly better than no progress at all.
The Economic Policy Institute didn’t enquire in any detail into why women with the most options in the labour market had made the least progress in closing the gender wage gap.
None of their solutions such as more collective-bargaining and a higher minimum wage will help the top end of the job market.
There is an anomaly in the Economic Policy Institute’s reasoning. The women who would suffer least from a purported inequality of bargaining power inherent in the capitalist system and have plenty of human capital have had least success in closing the gender pay gap. These women can shop around for better job offers and start their own businesses. Many do because they are professionals where self-employment and professional partnerships are common.
The better discussions of the gender wage gap emphasise choice. Women choosing at the top end of the labour market to balance career and family and choosing the occupation and education where the net advantages of doing that are the greatest. As the Economic Policy Institute itself notes:
In 2014, the gap was smallest at the 10th percentile, where women earned 90.9 percent of men’s wages. The minimum wage is partially responsible for this greater equality among the lowest earners, as it results in greater wage uniformity at the bottom of the distribution.
The gap is highest at the top of the distribution, with 95th percentile women earning 78.6 percent as much as their male counterparts. Economist Claudia Goldin (2014) postulates that the gap is larger for women in high-wage professions because they are penalized for not working long, inflexible hours that often come with many professional jobs, due in large part to the arrival of children and long-standing social expectations about the division of household labour between men and women.
What the Economic Policy Institute does not explain is why these long-standing social expectations about the division of household labour should be strongest among well-paid women with plenty of options.
Among these options of high-powered women in well-paid jobs is the ability to buy every labour-saving appliance, hire a nanny and ample childcare and acquire everything else on the list of demands of the Economic Policy Institute on closing the gender pay gap. Something doesn’t add up?

Of course, the Economic Policy Institute discusses the unadjusted gender wage rather than the adjusted gender wage. When you study the gender wage gap after making adjustments for demographic and other obvious factors, it is clear that this pay gap is driven by the choices women make between career and family.
Claudia Goldin did a great study of Harvard MBAs using online surveys of their careers. This is the very group that according to the Economic Policy Institute have made the least progress in bringing down patriarchy in the labour market. Specifically, the overturning of traditional expectations about the marital division of labour in childcare and parenthood.
https://twitter.com/alyssalynn7/status/669219008747610113
Goldin found that three proximate factors accounted for the large and rising gender gap in earnings among MBA graduates as their careers unfold:
- differences in training prior to MBA graduation,
- differences in career interruptions, and
- differences in weekly hours.
The greater career discontinuity and shorter work hours for female MBAs are largely associated with motherhood. There are some careers that severely penalise any time at all out of the workforce or working less than punishingly long and rigid hours.
A 2014 Harvard Business School study found that 28 percent of recent female alumni took off more than six months to care for children; only 2 percent of men did.

Claudia Goldin found one counterfactual that cancels out the gender wage gap amongst MBA professionals: hubby earns less! Female MBAs who have a partner who earn less than them earn as much as the average MBA professional on an hourly basis but work a few less hours per week.
The gender wage gap is persisted in high-paying jobs because career women have so many options. Studies of top earning professionals show that they make quite deliberate choices between family and career. The better explanation of why so many women are in a particular occupation is job sorting: that particular job has flexible hours and the skills do not depreciate as fast for workers who take time off, working part-time or returning from time out of the workforce.
Low job turnover workers will be employed by firms that invest more in training and job specific human capital:
- Higher job turnover workers, such as women with children, will tend to move into jobs that have less investment in specialised human capital, and where their human capital depreciates at a slower pace.
- Women, including low paid women, select careers in jobs that match best in terms of work life balance and allows them to enter and leave the workforce with minimum penalty and loss of skills through depreciation and obsolescence.
This is the choice hypothesis of the gender wage gap. Women choose to educate for occupations where human capital depreciates at a slower pace.
The gender wage gap for professionals can be explained by the marriage market combined with assortative mating:
- Graduates are likely to marry each other and form power couples; and
- There tends to be an age gap between men and women in long-term relationships and marriages of two years.
This two-year age gap means that the husband has two additional years of work experience and career advancement. This is likely to translate into higher pay and more immediate promotional prospects.
An interesting and informed look at the pay gap between men and women economist.com/blogs/freeexch… https://t.co/0nxtC9ILWo—
Charles Read (@EconCharlesRead) November 06, 2015
Maximising household income would imply that the member of the household with a higher income, and greater immediate promotional prospects stay in the workforce. This is entirely consistent with the choice hypothesis and equalising differentials as the explanation for the gender wage gap. As Solomon Polachek explains:
At least in the past, getting married and having children meant one thing for men and another thing for women. Because women typically bear the brunt of child-rearing, married men with children work more over their lives than married women. This division of labour is exacerbated by the extent to which married women are, on average, younger and less educated than their husbands.
This pattern of earnings behaviour and human capital and career investment will persist until women start pairing off with men who are the same age or younger than them. That is, more women will have to start marrying down in both income and social maturity.

Chinese birth and death rates and the Chinese population since 1950
04 Nov 2015 Leave a comment
in development economics, growth disasters, growth miracles, labour economics, labour supply, population economics Tags: China, economics of fertility, one child policy, The fatal conceit, The pretense to knowledge, unintended consequences
Chinese and Hong Kong fertility since the one child policy was adopted
01 Nov 2015 Leave a comment
in development economics, growth disasters, growth miracles, Marxist economics, population economics Tags: China, economics of fertility, Hong Kong, one child policy, The fatal conceit, The pretense to knowledge
Partnership status of young adults, USA, UK, Sweden, New Zealand, Italy, Germany the, France, Denmark, Canada and Australia
26 Oct 2015 Leave a comment
in economics of love and marriage, population economics Tags: economics of fertility, family demographics, marriage and divorce, search and matching
They certainly don’t go much for cohabiting in Italy or indeed the USA among young adults. Cohabitation is pretty much the same everywhere else. Marriage is not so common in Sweden generally among young people.
Source: OECD Family Database – OECD.
Who is married with children in USA, UK, Canada, Germany and France?
25 Oct 2015 Leave a comment
in economics of love and marriage, population economics Tags: economics of fertility, marriage and divorce, search and matching, single parents, soul parents
Source: OECD Family Database – OECD.
Has the gender gap closed for graduates over the last generation? @greencatherine
19 Oct 2015 Leave a comment
in discrimination, economics of education, gender, human capital, labour economics, occupational choice Tags: asymmetric marriage premium, compensating differentials, economics of fertility, gender wage gap, marriage and divorce, reversing gender gap
Today’s women who are well-established in their careers in their 30s and 40s are doing better than their mothers who are also tertiary educated in terms of closing the gender wage gap. The gender wage gap in the chart below is unadjusted. It is the raw gender wage gap for women aged 35 to 44 and for women aged 55 to 64.
In Canada and the USA there is been no progress at all. In New Zealand, the gender gap between male and female tertiary educated workers is a little larger for today’s prime age women graduates than for older female workers who completed a tertiary education.
I suspect that gender gap be no smaller for today’s career women as compared to two decades ago has something to do with compensating differentials.

Today’s career women want it all: both motherhood and a career. They trade-off work-life balance for wages.
Women choose university degrees and occupations that are more agreeable to a balancing motherhood and a career.

The decline of the traditional British family
26 Sep 2015 Leave a comment
in economic history, economics of love and marriage Tags: British economy, British history, British politics, economics of fertility, economics of the family, family demographics, marriage and divorce, single families, single mothers
https://twitter.com/ONS/status/624500831023407104/photo/1
Almost half of all babies (47.5%) are now born outside marriage/civil partnership ow.ly/PDqCi http://t.co/aVqG1GAqMA—
(@ONS) July 15, 2015
Why did married couples get a pass on the great wage stagnation and the ravages of the top 1%?
20 Sep 2015 Leave a comment
in economics of love and marriage, labour economics, law and economics, poverty and inequality Tags: asymmetric marriage premium, economics of fertility, female labour force participation, male labour force participation, marriage and divorce, maternal labour force participation, single mothers, single parents
Marriage used to be a pairing of opposites: Men would work for pay and women would work at home. But in the second half of the 20th century, women flooded the labour force, raising their participation rate from 32 percent, in 1950, to nearly 60 percent in the last decade. As women closed the education gap, the very nature of marriage has changed. It has slowly become an arrangement pairing similarly rich and educated people. Ambitious workaholics used to seek partners who were happy to take care of the house. Today, they’re more likely to seek another ambitious workaholic.




The rich and educated are more likely to marry, to marry each other, and to produce rich and educated children. But this virtual cycle turns vicious for the poor.
Source: How America’s Marriage Crisis Makes Income Inequality So Much Worse – The Atlantic
James Heckman on improving schools @greencatherine @dbseymour @ThomasHaig @PPTAWeb
17 Sep 2015 Leave a comment
in economics of crime, economics of education, human capital, labour supply, occupational choice, poverty and inequality Tags: behavioural genetics, crime and punishment, criminal deterrence, economics of early childhood education, economics of families, economics of fertility, economics of personality traits, marriage and divorce, single parents


Mises on feminism
12 Sep 2015 Leave a comment
in constitutional political economy, discrimination, economics of education, gender, labour economics, labour supply, liberalism, occupational choice, Public Choice, rentseeking Tags: economics of fertility, economics of the family, engines of liberation, female labour force participation, feminism, women's liberation
France is holding its own on the demographic crisis
26 Aug 2015 Leave a comment
in population economics Tags: ageing society, demographic crisis, economics of fertility, France, Japan, South Korea
US Teen Pregnancy, Birth and Abortion Rates
16 Aug 2015 Leave a comment
in economic history, gender, labour economics, labour supply, politics - USA, population economics, welfare reform Tags: abortion, economics of fertility, marriage and divorce, single mothers, single parents, teen pregnancy
US Teen Pregnancy, Birth and Abortion Rates since 1972 http://t.co/mwR1U6WJg8—
Max Roser (@MaxCRoser) August 06, 2015
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