What undergrads and @stevenljoyce need to know about trade @GreenCatherine

Minister for everything Stephen Joyce wrote some nonsense in the paper today about how trade agreements and more exports will mean more jobs:

I would like to make the point that trade access is hugely important for a small country like New Zealand. 

Without fair and equal trade access we can’t sell as much of our goods and we get less for them. And that means fewer jobs.

This make-work bias is as bad as those who oppose trade agreements on the grounds of an anti-foreign bias. Trade affects the composition of employment, not the number of jobs. Paul Krugman spent a good part of the 1990s trying to explain that to the general public and public intellectuals.

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Source: What Do Undergrads Need To Know About Trade?.

The enormous costs of socialism in Eastern European @BernieSanders @jeremycorbyn @johnmcdonnellMP

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@BernieSanders just wants to build a different type of wall to @realdonaldtrump’s

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Bjorn Lomborg: How to fix global warming smartly

@BernieSanders @realdonaldtrump want to reverse The Great Escape in developing countries

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Source: TRANSCRIPT: Bernie Sanders meets with News Editorial Board – NY Daily News.

Source: If you’re poor in another country, this is the scariest thing Bernie Sanders has said – Vox.

Source: If you’re poor in another country, this is the scariest thing Bernie Sanders has said – Vox.

 .

@garethmorgannz’s @grantrobertson1’s #UBI is worse than I thought @JordNZ

The Universal Basic Income of $11,000 per adult proposed by the Morgan Foundation and floated as a idea to consider by the New Zealand Labour Party leaves the poor way below even that the stingy as the poverty line switch is that 50% relative poverty line. Little wonder that the Labour Party said that increasing the Universal Basic Income to avoid leaving current beneficiaries worth off would lead to a very high tax rate.

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Source: A Universal Basic Income may be a good idea – but we will still need social security that works.

Political bias, free trade and @berniesanders @realdonaldtrump

The brutal utilitarian calculus of @NoahSmith @livingwageNZ @berniesanders

The bleeding heart concerns of the Left for job losses from economic policy changes such as from trade liberalisation disappears as soon as they discuss the losers from a living wage increase.

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Instead of may the heavens may fall but a manufacturing job must not be lost from trade liberalisation, a brutal utilitarian calculus overtakes Noah Smith and the living wage movement about the small number of job losses that result from modest increases in the minimum wage.

Most are those who support the minimum wage shift gears their applied welfare economics in all other social context to emphasise how the losers should be given priority and greater weight when adding up the social gains and social losses of economic change.

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The social cost of the minimum wage is not discussed in this way: how many jobs are lost and that these job losses are much more important than any gains to society.

All that is done is the number of jobs lost is compared with some other social metrics such as how much the wages go up for those that still have a job and that is enough to conclude that there is a socially beneficial change from a minimum wage increase.

Any low paid workers affected by the minimum wage increase are just reduced to numbers and added and subtracted with great ease and few moral compunctions about interpersonal comparisons of utility.

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A minimum wage increase is not free if one worker loses their job. The Paretian Criterion states that welfare is said to increase or decrease if at least one person is made better off or worse off with no change in the positions of others.

As Rawls pointed out, a general problem that throws utilitarianism into question is some people’s interests, or even lives, can be sacrificed if doing so will maximize total satisfaction. As Rawls says:

[ utilitarianism] adopt[s] for society as a whole the principle of choice for one man… there is a sense in which classical utilitarianism fails to take seriously the distinction between persons.

Minimum wage advocates fail to take seriously that low paid workers who lose their jobs because of minimum wage increases are real living people who suffer when their interests are traded off for the greater good of their fellow low paid workers, some of whom come from much wealthier households.

As Rawls pointed out, a general problem that throws utilitarianism into question is some people’s interests, or even lives, can be sacrificed if doing so will maximize total satisfaction. As Rawls says:

[ utilitarianism] adopt[s] for society as a whole the principle of choice for one man… there is a sense in which classical utilitarianism fails to take seriously the distinction between persons.

Minimum wage advocates fail to take seriously that low paid workers who lose their jobs because of minimum wage increases are real living people who suffer when their interests are traded off for the greater good of their fellow low paid workers, some of whom come from much wealthier households. Obviously the teenagers and adults thrown onto the scrapheap of society by an increased minimum wage don’t count in the brutal utilitarian calculus Noah Smith and the living wage movement employs.

All part of @BernieSanders’ good old days before the top 1% looted everything

Was Occupy Wall Street based on a measurement error?

Piketty and Saez (2003, updated) estimated the share of income held by the top 1% from 13 percent in 1991 to 23 percent in 2012. The new Bricker et al. research shows only a 7 percentage point increase to 18 percent in 2012. The share held by the super-rich, the top 0.1% has increased much at all.

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Source: Measuring income and wealth at the top using administrative and survey data via How super-rich Americans get that way is changing – AEI | Pethokoukis Blog » AEIdeas.

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Source: Measuring income and wealth at the top using administrative and survey data via  How super-rich Americans get that way is changing – AEI | Pethokoukis Blog » AEIdeas.

Bugger the top 1% – it is the retired who are going from strength to strength

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Externalities: When Is a Potato Chip Not Just a Potato Chip? 

It takes three to have an externality.

Poverty reduction in Africa is even greater than previously thought

#EarthHour 10 great public health achievements of 20th century #HAH2016

Pizza and Conversation with James Heckman

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