Sorry, Conservatives—Basic Economics Has a Liberal Bias By Matthew Yglesias

…here are some ideas that I’ve seen in most of the introductory economics textbooks I’ve looked at:

  • Governments (typically through central banks) need to manage the demand level of national economies to prevent catastrophic recessions and mass unemployment.
  • Absent carbon pricing, a market economy will massively overproduce greenhouse gases.
  • Many industries, such as broadband Internet, are “natural monopolies” where an unregulated market will lead to higher prices and less investment than is socially optimal.
  • Due to asymmetrical information, consumers in a market economy will be unable to bargain effectively with doctors and other providers of health care services.
  • Due to adverse selection, consumers in a market economy will be unable to effectively insure themselves against health risks.
  • Due to the declining marginal utility of money, taking $100 from a rich person and giving it to a poor one will increase human welfare.
  • Increasing the number of immigrants, raising taxes on the rich, and making Social Security benefits more generous will make almost everyone better off.

I could go on like this. But suffice it to say that one of the main reasons that so many economists are Democrats is that on a whole lot of issues the basic econ 101 view supports the liberal position.

via Economics is liberal: Chris House on conservative economics..

Chapple and Boston on the extent of welfare benefit fraud in New Zealand

What is more surprising about this honest disclosure of welfare  fraud to the Household Labour Force Survey of Statistics New Zealand in 2011 is  these welfare beneficiaries were so upfront about their criminal fraud.

These estimates must underestimate the extent of welfare fraud because some of these criminals would be aware that they should be slightly discreet in the company of any government official when discussing their eligibility for welfare benefits and any false information supplied in their claims for welfare benefits.

Some welfare cheats are alert to this  basic criminal skill and do not claim their benefit if called in to the welfare benefits  office for a reassessment of their eligibility. They don’t have the front to go near a government official while defrauding the taxpayer.

Yes, welfare fraud is a crime so people who perpetrated these crimes by obtaining welfare benefits under false pretences are criminals. If these criminals are caught, they are prosecuted for a crime and sometimes sent to prison.

HT: Muriel Newman

Harry G. Johnson on why public sector economists go stale

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Thomas Sowell on a guaranteed minimum income

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Who needs a cameraman to do local news anymore?

HT: Managerial Econ: Declining Demand for Labor.

Roger Pielke Jr. – Five Modes of Science Engagement

You may have noticed that the title of this post promised five modes of engagement and I’ve only described four.

There is a fifth, what I call the Stealth Issue Advocate. This role is characterized by the expert who seeks to hide his/her advocacy behind a facade of science, either pure scientist or science arbiter.

This role seeks to swim in a sea of politics without getting wet. It is the fastest route to pathologically politicizing science. It is also what gives scientists as advocates a bad name.

via Roger Pielke Jr.’s Blog: Five Modes of Science Engagement.

I had many similar experiences when explaining economics

Economic Rebounds in U.S. and Euro Zone: Deceivingly Similar, Strikingly Different

via Economic Rebounds in U.S. and Euro Zone: Deceivingly Similar, Strikingly Different – Dallas Fed.

The Modern Office and Timeless Tips for ‘Simple Sabotage’

Simple_Sabotage.jpg

  1. Managers and Supervisors: To lower morale and production, be pleasant to inefficient workers; give them undeserved promotions. Discriminate against efficient workers; complain unjustly about their work.
  2. Employees: Work slowly. Think of ways to increase the number of movements needed to do your job: use a light hammer instead of a heavy one; try to make a small wrench do instead of a big one.
  3. Organizations and Conferences: When possible, refer all matters to committees, for “further study and consideration.” Attempt to make the committees as large and bureaucratic as possible. Hold conferences when there is more critical work to be done.
  4. Telephone: At office, hotel and local telephone switchboards, delay putting calls through, give out wrong numbers, cut people off “accidentally,” or forget to disconnect them so that the line cannot be used again.
  5. Transportation: Make train travel as inconvenient as possible for enemy personnel. Issue two tickets for the same seat on a train in order to set up an “interesting” argument.

via https://www.cia.gov/news-information/featured-story-archive/2012-featured-story-archive/simple-sabotage.html

Thomas Sowell Dismantles Feminism and Racialism

Offsetting behaviour alert: only fools and politicians would believe that a minimum wage increase increases net pay and conditions

John Schmitt  lists 11 margins along which a minimum wage might cause changes in net pay and conditions:

  1. Reduction in hours worked (because firms faced with a higher minimum wage trim back on the hours they want),
  2. Reduction in non-wage benefits (to offset the higher costs of the minimum wage),
  3. Reduction in money spent on training (again, to offset the higher costs of the minimum wage),
  4. Change in composition of the workforce (that is, hiring additional workers with middle or higher skill levels, and fewer of those minimum wage workers with lower skill levels),
  5. Higher prices (passing the cost of the higher minimum wage on to consumers),
  6. Improvements in efficient use of labour (in a model where employers are not always at the peak level of efficiency, a higher cost of labour might give them a push to be more efficient),
  7. “Efficiency wage” responses from workers (when workers are paid more, they have a greater incentive to keep their jobs, and thus may work harder and shirk less),
  8. Wage compression (minimum wage workers get more, but those above them on the wage scale may not get as much as they otherwise would),
  9. Reduction in profits (higher costs of minimum wage workers reduces profits),
  10. Increase in demand (a higher minimum wage boosts buying power in overall economy), and
  11. Reduced turnover (a higher minimum wage makes a stronger bond between employer and workers, and gives employers more reason to train and hold on to worker.

Richard McKenzie argues that the biggest impact  of a minimum wage increase is reductions to paid and unpaid benefits for minimum wage workers, including  health insurance, store discounts, free food, flexible scheduling, and job security resulting from higher-skilled workers drawn to the higher minimum wage jobs:

  • Masanori Hashimoto found that under the 1967 minimum-wage hike, workers gained 32 cents in money income but lost 41 cents per hour in training—a net loss of 9 cents an hour in full-income compensation.
  • Other researchers in independently completed studies found more evidence that a hike in the minimum wage undercuts on-the-job training and undermines covered workers’ long-term income growth.
  • Wessels found that the minimum wage caused retail establishments in New York to increase work demands by cutting back on the number of workers and giving workers fewer hours to do the same work.
  • Fleisher, Dunn, and Alpert found that minimum-wage increases lead to large reductions in fringe benefits and to worsening working conditions.
  • Marks found that workers covered by the federal minimum-wage law were also more likely to work part time, given that part-time workers can be excluded from employer-provided health insurance plans.

McKenzie also argued that if the minimum wage does not cause employers to make substantial reductions in fringe benefits and increases in work demands, then an increased minimum should cause

(1) An increase in the labour-force-participation rates of covered workers (because workers would be moving up their supply of labour curves),

(2) A reduction in the rate at which covered workers quit their jobs (because their jobs would then be more attractive), and

(3) A significant increase in prices of production processes heavily dependent on covered minimum-wage workers.

Wessels found that minimum-wage increases had exactly the opposite effect as intended: labour force participation rates went down; job quit rates went up, and prices did not rise appreciably.

These are findings by Wessels are consistent only with the view that minimum-wage increases make workers worse off, rather than better off in terms of net pay and conditions. After the minimum wage increase, the net advantages and disadvantages of menial jobs are less than before. Fewer workers enter the workforce and more quit their jobs.

McKenzie was the first economist to argue that a minimum wage increase may actually reduce the labour supply of menial workers. Employment in menial jobs may go down slightly in the face of minimum-wage increases not so much because the employers don’t want to offer the jobs, but because fewer workers want these menial jobs that are offered.

The repackaging of monetary and non-monetary benefits, greater work intensities and fewer training opportunities make these jobs less attractive relative to their other options. This reduction in labour supply by low skilled workers is why the voluntary quit rate among low-wage workers goes up, not down, after a minimum wage increase. As McKenzie explains

Economists almost uniformly argue that minimum wage laws benefit some workers at the expense of other workers.

This argument is implicitly founded on the assumption that money wages are the only form of labour compensation. Based on the more realistic assumption that labour is paid in many different ways, the analysis of this paper demonstrates that all labourers within a perfectly competitive labour market are adversely affected by minimum wages.

Although employment opportunities are reduced by such laws, affected labour markets clear. Conventional analysis of the effect of minimum wages on monopsony markets is also upset by the model developed.

McKenzie argues that not accounting for offsetting behaviour led to a fundamental misinterpretation in the empirical literature on the minimum wage. That literature shows that small increases in the minimum wages does not seem to affect employment and unemployment by that much.

…. wage income is not the only form of compensation with which employers pay their workers. Also in the mix are fringe benefits, relaxed work demands, workplace ambiance, respect, schedule flexibility, job security and hours of work.

Employers compete with one another to reduce their labour costs for unskilled workers, while unskilled workers compete for the available unskilled jobs — with an eye on the total value of the compensation package.

With a minimum-wage increase, employers will move to cut labour costs by reducing fringe benefits and increasing work demands

Proponents and opponents of minimum-wage hikes do not seem to realize that the tiny employment effects consistently found across numerous studies provide the strongest evidence available that increases in the minimum wage have been largely neutralized by cost savings on fringe benefits and increased work demands and the cost savings from the more obscure and hard-to-measure cuts in nonmoney compensation.

McKenzie is correct in arguing that the empirical literature on the minimum wage is dewy-eyed. The first assumption about any regulation is the market will offset it significantly.

In the course of undoing the direct effects of the regulation, there will be unintended consequences such as the remixing of wage and nonwage components of remuneration packages of low skilled workers covered by the minimum wage. Greg Mankiw concludes that:

The minimum wage has its greatest impact on the market for teenage labour. The equilibrium wages of teenagers are low because teenagers are among the least skilled and least experienced members of the labour force.

In addition, teenagers are often willing to accept a lower wage in exchange for on-the-job training. . . . As a result, the minimum wage is more often binding for teenagers than for other members of the labour force.

Economists find rare empirical evidence of love in unique marriage survey

The key research questions that reveal all are:

  • How happy are you in your  relative to how happy you would be if you weren’t in the marriage? [Much worse; worse; same; better; much better.]
  • How do you think your spouse answered that question?

via Economists find rare empirical evidence of love in unique marriage survey.

Most of the wealth of New Zealand is human capital – it’s the Age of Human Capital and the working rich

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New Zealand – Chartbook of Economic Inequality

Has the dispersion of earnings been increasing in recent decades? Yes, the top decile has risen from 143 per cent of median in 1986 to 186 per cent in 2012.
Has overall inequality increased in recent years? No, the Gini coefficient has been relatively stable around 32 percent since 1996. However, it rose by 7 percentage points between 1988 and 1996.
Have there been periods when overall inequality fell for a sustained period? Yes, from mid-1950s to mid-1970s.
Has poverty been falling or rising in recent decades? Poverty has substantially increased from 1996 to 2004 before decreasing mildly till 2009.
Has there been a U-pattern for top income shares over time? Yes, top gross income shares fell from mid-1950s to mid-1980s, then rose from mid-1980s to mid-1990s.
Has the distribution of wealth followed the same pattern as income? Insufficient evidence.
Additional noteworthy features U-shape over post-war period. Top income shares estimates for the years 1998, 1999 and 2000 are affected by changes in the income tax laws. Top shares series have a break in 1951 (change in tax units).

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

You are welcome to share but please refer to A. B. Atkinson and S. Morelli (2014) – ‘The Chartbook of Economic Inequality’ at http://www.ChartbookOfEconomicInequality.com

This visualisation is licensed under a Creative Commons BY-NC-SA license Data visualisation by: Max Roser

The link between parental leave and the gender pay gap | Pew Research Center

FT_gender1223

FT_13.12.17_WageGap

via http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2013/12/20/the-link-between-parental-leave-and-the-gender-pay-gap/

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