The Queen didn’t ask Keynesians about not predicting the 1970s stagflation, a phenomenon their macroeconomics strictly forbade

Source: Kehoe, Midrigan and Pastorino 2018.

Ellen McGrattan, Intangible Capital and Measured Productivity

@dandolfa on how Keynesian macroeconomics is just to good to be true

http://andolfatto.blogspot.com/2010/07/sticky-price-hypothesis-critique.html?m=1

My favorite Greg Mankiw quote on the influence of modern macroeconomics

Thomas Sargent v. @AnnPettifor on macroeconomics before the #GFC

Game of Theories: The Great Recession

Another born again fiscal conservative

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Thomas J. Sargent named Honoris Causa Professor,HEC Paris

Video

The Great Recession 

"Stimulus" Did Not Stimulate

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Tom Sargent on Macroeconomic Theory and the Crisis

Equilibrium unemployment rate: USA, UK, France, Germany, Canada & Australia, 1985-2017

I do admire the way in which the USA has been able to have a steadily falling equilibrium unemployment rate since 1984 through thick and thin. The Great Recession had no impact on the US equilibrium unemployment rate. Not only has the largest member been able to do this, the OECD host country (red squares) has had a pretty steady natural unemployment rate too all things considered.

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Source: OECD Economic Outlook June 2016 Data extracted on 01 Jun 2016 12:40 UTC (GMT) from OECD.Stat

Unemployment rates across the OECD in 2015

Tax mix in the USA as a percentage of GDP since 1965

The only major change in the US tax mix in the last 50 years has been greater reliance on social security contributions.

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Source: OECD Stat.

The share going to income taxes bobbing up and down quite a lot in the last 30 years much of that to do with the business cycle. In the 1990s, the share of taxes from personal income increased during boom times. In the Great Recession, the tax share to income tax rose with the declining economy as did that on corporate profits.

Lunch and Conversation with Thomas J. Sargent

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