A challenge for @GarethMorgannz on disagreement in public policy making

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Forget avoidance outrage: public’s real attitude to tax is revealed by their actions @JordNZ

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Source: Panama Papers: Forget avoidance outrage: The public’s real attitude to tax is revealed by their actions | City A.M.

George Plunkitt of Tammany Hall on the difference between honest and dishonest political graft

In the book Plunkitt of Tammany Hall William Riordan published many of George Washington Plunkitt’s thoughts about government and about big city machines.  In the link below, you can find the passage that explains the difference between honest and dishonest graft.

Honest graft is using your connections and knowledge as a government official to enrich yourself.  It is essentially what we would now call “insider trading.” 

Honest graft is when a goverment official goes out (for example) and buys up land because he knows a city project will need that land and he will be able to make a lot of money by buying the land now while no one else knows that it is about to be bought by the city.  He can buy it cheap and then sell it at a higher price to the city.

Dishonest graft consists of doing things like blackmailing people who are doing illegal or semi-illegal things.  It can also consist of actually taking money directly from the city treasury. 

It is more of what you would expect mobsters to do–things like forcing prostitutes to pay money to police in order to be allowed to work in a given area rather than being arrested.

Source: How does George Plunkitt define “honest/dishonest graft”?   | eNotes.

Wanted poster for Lincoln’s assassins, this day 1865

P.T. Bauer on @BernieSanders extending #fightfor15 to entire Third World!

India tried that in the 1950s as part of its five-year plans. It did not work that well. Bauer said that in development economics there is a “need to restate the obvious.”

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Source: Ending the Race to the Bottom – Bernie Sanders.

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Source: Indian Economic Policy and Development – P. T. Bauer (1959) – Google Books

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McDonald’s Workers Just Lovin’ Their #ZeroHoursContracts @suemoroney @IainLG @FairnessNZ

Revealed preference rules. Not only do about half of unemployed turned down offers of zero hour contract jobs, those that switch from a zero hours contract to minimum hours are not much different from the number of people in these type of jobs who would be quitting to another job anyway.

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Source: McDonald’s Workers Are Just Lovin’ Their Zero Hours Contracts – Forbes and McDonald’s offer staff the chance to get off zero-hours contracts | UK news | The Guardian.

#Morganfoundation discovers that #Ukraine is a dodgy place to buy credence goods

Morgan Foundation yesterday put out a report pointing out that many of the carbon credits purchased from the Ukraine under the carbon trading scheme are fraudulent.

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That comes with no surprise to anyone vaguely familiar with business conditions and the level of official corruption in the former Soviet Union. Russia is a more honest place to do business.

 

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Source: Doug Bowman on Experience Effects on Brand Choice :: The Institute of Brand Science at Emory University.

Carbon traders who buy from the Ukraine are not buying an inspection good. An inspection good is a good whose quality you can ascertain before purchase.

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They are not buying an experience good. An experience good is a good whose quality is ascertained after purchase in the course of consumption.

Source: Russia, Ukraine dodgy carbon offsets cost the climate – study | Climate Home – climate change news.

What these carbon traders in New Zealand are doing is buying credence goods from the Ukraine. The credence goods are the carbon credits, which the Morgan Foundation and others have found often to be fraudulent.

A credence good is a good whose value is difficult or impossible for the consumer to ascertain. A classic example of a credence good is motor vehicle repairs.

You must trust the seller and their advice as to how much you need to buy of a credence good. Many forms of medical treatment also require you to trust the seller as to how much you need.

Carbon credits are such a credence good. You know there is corruption in the Ukraine and many other countries that supply them. You may never know at any reasonable cost whether the specific carbon credits you buy were legitimate.

The reason why carbon credits are purchased from such an unreliable source is expressive voting. As is common with expressive politics, what matters is whether the voters cheer or boo the policy. The fact whether it works or not does not matter too much.

The Greens are upset about this corruption in carbon trading. They did not mention the corruption in international carbon trading and climate aid when they welcomed the recent Paris treaty on global warming but that is for another day.

https://twitter.com/kadhimshubber/status/721831502372302849

Co-ordinated international action on global warming is rather pointless if some of the key countries with carbon emission caps are corrupt, which they are.

As Geoff Brennan has argued, CO2 reduction actions will be limited to modest unilateral reductions of a largely token character. There are many expressive voting concerns that politicians must balance to stay in office and the environment is but one of these.

Once climate change policies start to actually become costly to swinging voters, expressive voting support for these policies will fall away, and it has.

Networked Carbon Markets

Source:  World Bank Networked Carbon Markets.

One way to stem that fading support is to buy carbon credits on the cheap and there is plenty of disreputable suppliers of cheap carbon credits. Buying dodgy carbon credits as a way of doing something on global warming without it costing more than expressive voters will pay.

One of the predictions of the adverse selection literature is that if consumers cannot differentiate good and bad goods from each other, such as with used cars, the market will contract sharply or even collapse because buyers cannot trust what is on offer. This risk of adverse selection undermining a market applies with clarity to carbon trading.

Source: How Can Your Vote Shape a Low Carbon Future? It Starts with Carbon Pricing.

John Edwards has the world’s dumbest political mug-shot

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The cost of starting a business in Europe and North America

These measures including the full cost of starting a business. Not only are official fees included, the opportunity cost of the waiting times for various permits are issued are added as well.

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Source: Markus Poschke, Entry regulation: Still costly | VOX, CEPR’s Policy Portal (2011).

Note: The value of time is set to a business day’s output per day of waiting time at 22 business days per month.

 

@BernieSanders @HillaryClinton Who is below the poverty line in America? #fightfor15

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@garethmorgannz is getting a little techie about debating optimal tax theory

All I said was “optimal tax theory including that pioneered by Stiglitz and Merrlees, economists of impeccable left-wing credentials, show that taxes on the income from capital should be low because the deadweight social costs of taxes on capital are very high”.

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@StatModeling @ryanmcmaken Europe sub-Reddit just can’t handle the truth about how poor they are!?

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@garethmorgannz gives optimal tax theory a pass once again @JordNZ

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Source: Mankiw, N. Gregory, Matthew Weinzierl and Danny Yagan. 2009. "Optimal Taxation in Theory and Practice." Journal of Economic Perspectives, 23(4):147-74.

The Morgan Foundation gave optimal tax theory a pass in yesterday’s publication about taxes on land and capital. Gareth Morgan is keen on a comprehensive capital tax.

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Source: Taxing Wealth & Property – What Works? A Morgan Foundation Report.

This failure to refer to optimal tax theory is despite the Foundation’s strong commitment to evidence-based policy. Any discussion of tax policy that is evidence-based must refer optimal tax theory.

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Source:  Morgan Foundation, Public Policy Education.

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Americans used to be much more trusting of government

One in 3 @realdonaldtrump supporters actually believe he will build the wall

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