The lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender population vote for parties that welcome them

The lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender population is one of the most Democratic demographic groups in the country. According to the 2012 national exit polls conducted by the National Election Pool, gay, lesbian, and bisexual adults voted for Barack Obama over Mitt Romney by more than three-to-one (76% vs. 22%).

This Democratic advantage can be seen in the partisan identification of LGBT adults, a majority of whom are Democrats. It also expresses itself in policy preferences across a range of issues, including size of government, attitudes about gun policy and immigration…

Half of LGBT adults (50%) self-identify as liberal, 37% are moderate, and just 12% say they are conservative.

The Pew Research Centre

SDT-2013-06-LGBT-7-01

That’s hardly surprising that people vote for the parties that welcome them given the deep hostility of the Republican Party on lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender issues. Until the middle of the 20th century, few black Americans voted for the Democratic party because it was the party of racism. People rarely vote for parties that really dislike them.

SDT-2013-06-LGBT-0-12

The transferability of these American results  on partisanship to New Zealand is rather limited because there is no cultural war as there is in the USA currently over same-sex marriages.  A same-sex marriage bill passed the New Zealand Parliament in 2013 fairly easily. The Christian based socially conservative parties in New Zealand are pretty tame in their rhetoric and still struggling to get into Parliament.

SDT-2013-06-LGBT-7-10

As such, the centre right parties in New Zealand aren’t seen as particularly hostile to the lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender population. On the same-sex marriage bill, for example, the National Party split evenly on voting for and against, reflecting its moderation in just about every issue.

People of all sexualities can vote for New Zealand parties on grounds other than the fact of how welcoming they are to who they are. That makes the American results on partisanship and sexuality less relevant to New Zealand

via Chapter 7: Partisanship, Policy Views, Values | Pew Research Center’s Social & Demographic Trends Project.

On marijuana, Obama is content to evolve rather than to lead the way – The Washington Post

For a lame duck president doing a lot to cultivate his legacy, Obama is really dragging his feet here if he is in any way a social liberal

via On marijuana, Obama is content to evolve rather than to lead the way – The Washington Post.

Political polarization is a defining feature of American politics today

Image

The highs and lows of presidential popularity ratings

the highs and lows of presidential approval

the popularity of recent presidents

The Entire Global Economy in  1 Slide – Bloomberg Business

HT: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-03-16/the-entire-global-economy-in-two-big-slides

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Europe’s Climate Fail

Europe’s rate of decarbonization was essentially identical before and after the ETS was introduced. If the program has effects, decarbonization has not been detectable beyond historical business-as-usual rates.

HT: http://thebreakthrough.org/index.php/voices/roger-pielke-jr/europes-climate-fail

Edward Snowden misspoke on a secret American spy base located in Auckland

Edward Snowden made a last-minute intervention in the recent New Zealand election to claim that there is a secret American spy base located in Auckland. I have persistently asked on Twitter where it is so I can look it up on Google maps Street.

Today, Bryce Edwards revealed in a reply to one of my tweets that Edward Snowden got mixed up. It is yet to be revealed where this secret spy base really is so I can still look it up on Google Maps Street view.

If there is a secret spy base anywhere in New Zealand, I’m sure the neighbours would have noticed and lodged objections to the resource consent for the planning permission because of all the cell towers.

The GCSB’s Waihopai spy station pictured above which was built decades ago in rural New Zealand is decidedly conspicuous.

 

Down and out in America in 2005 – Air Conditioning, Cable TV, and an Xbox

For decades, the U.S. Census Bureau has reported that over 30 million Americans were living in “poverty,” but the bureau’s definition of poverty differs widely from that held by most Americans.

In fact, other government surveys show that most of the persons whom the government defines as “in poverty” are not poor in any ordinary sense of the term. The overwhelming majority of the poor have air conditioning, cable TV, and a host of other modern amenities. They are well housed, have an adequate and reasonably steady supply of food, and have met their other basic needs, including medical care.

Some poor Americans do experience significant hardships, including temporary food shortages or inadequate housing, but these individuals are a minority within the overall poverty population.

Percentage of Poor U.S. Households Which Have Various Amenities

Amenities in Typical Households

Households with Air Conditioning

via What is Poverty in the United States: Air

Why the global economy is growing, but CO2 emissions aren’t – The Washington Post

via Why the global economy is growing, but CO2 emissions aren’t – The Washington Post.

NZ is in the middle of the pack in reducing poverty rates through redistribution

The figure shows pre-transfer and post-transfer poverty rates among OECD countries (mostly the advanced economies).  The former (pre-transfer) are the market-driven poverty rates, before the tax and transfer systems kick in.

Source: OECD, *Poverty thresholds: 50% of median income.

HT: International Poverty Comparisons: What Do They Tell Us about Causes? | Jared Bernstein | On the Economy.

Harvard students take the 1964 Louisiana Literacy Test that black voters had to pass to qualify to vote

Video

Maybe the future is not solar and wind, so those mass layoffs of climate alarmists are cancelled

via Matt Ridley: ‘Fossil fuels will save the world,’ and will continue to provide more than 81% of US energy in 2040 – AEI | Carpe Diem Blog » AEIdeas.

via eia.gov

Food safety risk hierarchy

image

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Europe’s Greater Depression is worse than the 1930s

Europe's Greater Depression

HT: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2014/08/14/europes-greater-depression-is-worse-than-the-1930s/

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Clinton Favorability, Familiarity Bests 2016 Contenders

Potential 2016 presidential candidates: familiarity and favorability

via Clinton Favorability, Familiarity Bests 2016 Contenders.

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