The shrewdest summary of rational expectations economic policy was by Paul Samuelson

Source: Tom Sargent "The Ends of Four Big Inflations

HT: Stephen Williamson

Stephen Williamson on Marginal Taxation

Karl Smith's avatarModeled Behavior

He says a lot. I’ll try to address piece by piece.

Next, some people have shown interest in this paper by Diamond and Saez. A key result that seemed to get these people excited is the calculation of a top optimal marginal tax rate (including all taxes) of 73%, relative to the current rate of 42.5%. There are two key assumptions that Diamond and Saez make to come up with the 73% optimal rate. First, we should not care about the welfare (at the margin) of the rich people. This argument is based solely on the notion that marginal utility of income is low for the top income-earners. Second, Diamond and Saez use a “behavioral elasticity” of tax revenue with respect to the tax rate of 0.25. To see how this matters, if you use their formula and an elasticity of one, you get an optimal top tax rate…

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