Two charts on Trump and a more important one on Herman Cain

via Why is Trump surging? Blame the media. – The Washington Post.

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via Donald Trump and the Press: Why Coverage Matters – The New York Times.

Creative destruction in oldest businesses

The Great Escape in infant mortality

The education explosion in the 20th century

The S&P index in the 20th century and beyond

Modern European borders superimposed over Europe in 1914

French unemployment incidence by duration since 1983

Nothing really changes in France recently unemployment duration. Italian labour market is notorious for having very low inflows and outflows from employment and unemployment.

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Source: OECD StatExtract.

Rio de Janeiro in the clouds

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Any progress ever on the gender wage gap in France, Germany, Sweden and Norway since 1980?

Our friends on the Left go on about how wonderful place Sweden is despite its gender gap being stuck for 35 years. Not much better in Norway and in Germany and France for that matter.

Figure 1: gender wage, % of median male wage, full-time employees, France, Germany, Sweden and Norway, 1980 – 2012

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Source: Earnings and wages – Gender wage gap – OECD Data.

The gender wage gap  in figure 1 is unadjusted and defined as the difference between median earnings of men and women relative to median earnings of men. Data refer to full-time employees.

Swedosclerosis, Eurosclerosis and the British disease compared

Figure 1 shows stark differences between Sweden, France, Italy and the UK since 1970 in departures from trend growth rates of 1.9% in real GDP per working age person, PPP. Italy did quite OK until 2000 growing at about the trend growth rate of 1.9% after which it fell into a hole so deep that it barely notice the onset of the global financial crisis. Sweden really had been the sick man of Europe until it turned its back on high taxing, welfare state socialism in the early 1990s. France has been in a long decline so much so that the global financial crisis is hard to pick up in the acceleration in its long decline in the mid-1990s. Figure 1 also shows Britain did very well, both under the neoliberal horrors of Thatcherism and the betrayals by Tony Blair of a true Labour Party platform. The UK grew at above the trend annual growth to 1.9% for most of the period from the early 1980s to 2007. The UK has done not so well since the onset of the global financial crisis.

Figure 1: Real GDP per Swede, French, British and Italian aged 15-64, 2014 US$ (converted to 2014 price level with updated 2011 PPPs), 1.9 per cent detrended, 1970-2013

Source: Computed from OECD StatExtract and The Conference Board. 2015. The Conference Board Total Economy Database™, May 2015, http://www.conference-board.org/data/economydatabase/

Note: When the line is flat, the economy is growing at its trend annual growth rate. A falling line means below trend annual growth; a rising line means of above trend annual growth. Detrended with values used by Edward Prescott.

German data was not in figure 1 because German unification threw all of its data into disarray for long-term comparison purposes.

Climate change that is worth worrying about

The Left opposed airline deregulation

Do vaccines work?

What a great fort!

What difference did the Kyoto protocol make and that’s before you consider 3rd World development

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