This time it is different: unemployment incidence by duration, USA, 1968 – 2014

The Great Recession was the first recession in the USA in a good 40 to 50 years where the composition of employment changed by much. Even the big recession at the beginning of the 1980s did not do much to the composition of unemployment by duration in the USA.

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Source: OECD StatExtract.

Those unemployed for more than a year moved from barely double digits even in a bad recession prior to 2008 to coming on one-third of all unemployed. Likewise, those unemployed for less than a month halved from 40% to 20%. Something changed in the US labour market with the Great Recession and the long extensions of unemployment insurance from 26 weeks to 52 weeks and then 99 weeks.

Average duration of unemployment, USA, Canada and Australia, 1968 – 2014

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Source: OECD StatExtract.

I have no information as to why there is a sudden surge in the Canadian unemployment duration rate in 2001.

% of U.S. workers working from home

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Source: American Time Use Survey, Table 7. Employed persons working on main job at home, workplace, and time spent working at each location by class of worker, occupation, and earnings, 2014 annual averages.

The average numbers of hours working at home is about 3 hours per week and varies little by any cross-tab.

Australian unemployment incidence by duration since 1978

As with New Zealand, Australian long-term unemployment seems to go up and down quite a lot with recessions such as those in the early 1980s and early 1990s but not after the global financial crisis.

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Source: OECD StatExtract.

French unemployment incidence by duration since 1983

Nothing really changes in France recently unemployment duration. Italian labour market is notorious for having very low inflows and outflows from employment and unemployment.

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Source: OECD StatExtract.

The discovery process in student athlete wages

rfmcelroyiii's avatarRandall McElroy III

FiveThirtyEightSports has a great piece about how much college quarterbacks are really worth in terms of market value. I’m neutral-but-leaning-against on the issue of paying college athletes, but the piece begins with University of Iowa Athletic Director Gary Barta giving a very bad reason to oppose it: it’s too complicated to figure out how much they should be paid. He’s right given how he’s conceiving the issue, he’s just not conceiving the issue in the right way.

Wages are not determined by a person or group of people independently evaluating what a job is “really” worth. That’s what markets do, i.e. that’s what innumerable decisions over time by innumerable anonymous consumers operating within the price system do. The failure to understand how the price system works in allocating resources by preferences is not unique to Barta. Very few people understand it, and lamentably even people who do understand it often…

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I didn’t know unemployment benefit eligibility was so strict in New Zealand

Tax rates on labour income across the OECD area

James Bartholomew introduces his new book, ‘The Welfare of Nations’.

New Zealand success in closing the gender wage gap is seriously underreported

Graduate premium in starting wages

Unemployment rates across the OECD member countries

Maternity leave compared

Why no ethnic wage gap for New Zealanders aged 15 to 24?

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via New Zealand Income Survey 2014 via Human Rights Commission: Tracking Equality at Work

Has there been any labour market deregulation ever in the UK, Australia or New Zealand?

Major deregulations and re-regulations of the labour market in Australia and New Zealand did not move the employment protection inducts around that much in figure 1. All is been quiet on the labour market regulation front of the UK pretty much since the index was started.

Figure 1: OECD employment protection index (EPI), strictness of employment protection – individual and collective dismissals, USA, UK, Australia and New Zealand, 1990 – 2013

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Source: OECD StatExtract.

The Work Choices legislation in Australia in 2006 was looked upon by the OECD as a somewhat minor deregulation not much more in scale than the deregulation introduced in 2008 with the election of the National Party led government.

Nobody told the unions that.

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