@Greencatherine 1996 US welfare reforms and the employment of single mums who were high school dropouts

https://twitter.com/hamiltonproj/status/659776768094547968

There was a step increase in the employment rate of single parents and in particular high school dropouts straight after the implementation of the 1996 US federal welfare reforms.

These single mothers who dropped out of high school were thought to be least employable and most at risk to the 1996 US welfare reform. There was a large increase in their employment and this massive improvement in their rates of employment is enduring to this day.

@BernieSanders @HillaryClinton working 40 hour on #minimumwage doesn’t leave you in poverty in America

The reverse gender gap in black education

There were massive reductions in black and Hispanic child poverty rates after 1996 US welfare reforms

The interesting part of this chart is the white child poverty rate didn’t change much after the US 1996 federal welfare reforms. It was black and Hispanic child poverty rates that dropped by 1/3rd.

Poverty traps in America

Child poverty and single parents across the globe

The 1996 US federal welfare reforms are still succeeding

More than 15% of unemployed Europeans haven’t had a job for more than four years

Single motherhood and the feminisation of poverty

The trouble with boys

Did Mass Incarceration Destroy the Black Family?

When do rising incomes increase child poverty?

AHC = after deducting housing costs

BHC = before deducting housing costs

‘anchored line’:

  • this is the line set at a chosen level in a reference year (now 2007), and held fixed in real terms (CPI adjusted)
  • the concept of ‘poverty’ here is – have the incomes of low-income households gone up or down in real terms compared with what they were previously?

‘moving line’:

  • this is the fully relative line that moves when the median moves (e.g. if median rises, the poverty line rises and reported poverty rates increase even if low incomes stay the same)
  • the concept of ‘poverty’ here is – have the incomes of low-income households moved closer or further away from the median?

Bryan Perry, Household Incomes in New Zealand: trends in indicators of inequality and hardship 1982 to 2014 – Ministry of Social Development, Wellington (August 2015), p. 133.

image

Source: Bryan Perry, Household Incomes in New Zealand: trends in indicators of inequality and hardship 1982 to 2014 – Ministry of Social Development, Wellington (August 2015), p. 133.

Is child poverty in New Zealand 245,000 children or 305,000 children?

If you base your estimate of child poverty on the 60% of median income after housing costs moving line, which is the number of low income households who moved further away from 60% of median income, a median which increased by 5% last year, the figure is 305,000 children after housing costs. 45,000 children are in households that is not as close to the median as last year but are not necessarily any poorer than last year in terms of money coming into the house.

If you base your estimate on the anchored line, which is the number of low income households whose income has gone up on down compared to what they were on previously,the number of children in poverty has increased from 235,000 to 245,000 after housing costs. About 10,000 children are poorer than last year – poorer enough than last year to be classified as in poverty.

Poverty in America

Vanishing effect of #religion on the labour market participation of European women

Incidence of long-term unemployment in the PIGS since 1983

The boom that preceded the bust in the Greek economy did nothing for the rate of long-term unemployment among Greeks. Long-term unemployment had been pretty stable prior to the economic boom after joining the euro currency union.

image

Source: OECD StatExtract.

Nothing much happened to long-term unemployment in Italy or Portugal in recent decades. Spanish long-term unemployment fell in line with the economic boom in Spain over the 1980s and 1990s up until the global financial crisis.

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