Doing Business in France, Germany and the UK – World Bank rankings compared

Figure 1: World Bank Doing Business rankings, France, Germany and the UK, 2014

image

Source: Doing Business – Measuring Business Regulations – World Bank Group.

Some things are decidedly harder to do in Germany and France than for businesses in the UK. On the other hand, it is surprisingly hard to register property in all three countries including the UK after 700 years of the blessings of the British common law.

Paying taxes in Germany and France are far harder than in the UK. Don’t  have anything to do with construction permits in France unless you must. It is surprisingly hard to get the electricity on in the UK and France.

The European Union must have some benefits when it comes to trading across the borders of all three countries. Only problem is in Germany where it is very difficult to start a business in the first place. Why is for a later posting.

OECD starting a business rankings (New Zealand (1st) to Germany (114th)) – World Bank Doing Business rankings

Figure 1: Starting a business rankings – World Bank Doing Business rankings, OECD countries, 2014

image

Source: Doing Business – Measuring Business Regulations – World Bank Group.

There is surprising wide range in the World Bank Doing Business ranking of the difficulty and delays in starting a business across the OECD.

Germany is ranked 114 from the world for starting a business. New Zealand is ranked first with the USA, Italy and the UK ranked in the mid 40s in the Doing Business database.

The reason why New Zealand should rule out helping Greece!

image

Greece is a tiny part of the European economies so it doesn’t matter that much to the rest of the European Union what happens to Greece. The only people will notice the sovereign default of Greece once the breathless journalism has died down are Greeks themselves as they rebuild their banking and monetary system against a background of a government run by coffee shop Marxists.

The Spanish economic recovery compared

The occupation, partition and annexation of Germany, 1947

French, German, Italian and British trade union densities, 1960 – 2013

Figure 1: French, German, Italian and British trade union densities, 1960 – 2013

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Source: OECD Stat Extract

French, German and Italian unemployment rates, 1956 – 2013

Figure 1: French, German and Italian unemployment rates, 1956 – 2013

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Source: OECD StatExtract.

French, German, British and US tax revenues as % of GDP, 1965 – 2013

Figure 1: Tax revenue as percentage of French, German, British and US GDP, 1965–2013

image

Source: OECD StatExtract.

Why do middle-aged German men become sensitive new age guys?

French and German real GDP per capita as a percentage of British GDP per capita, 1820–2010

Figure 1: French and German real GDP per capita are as percentage of British GDP per capita (1990 Int. GK$PPP), 1820 – 2010

image

Source: The Maddison-Project, http://www.ggdc.net/maddison/maddison-project/home.htm 2013 version.

Why so many bicycles in Germany?

Annual hours worked per working age American, German and French, 1950–2013

Figure 1 shows that Americans work the same hours per year pretty much the entire post-war period. By contrast, there is been a long decline in hours worked in Germany and France. The large drop in 1992 was German unification.

Figure 1: annual hours worked per working age American, German and French, 1950 – 2013

image

Source: OECD StatExtract and The Conference Board Total Economy Database™,January 2014, http://www.conference-board.org/data/economydatabase/

The long decline seemed to tally with the disproportionately sharp rise in the average tax rate on labour income, including social security contributions in France and Germany. When tax rates on labour income, including social security contributions stabilised in about 1980, hours worked stabilised in all countries.

Figure 2: average tax rate on labour income,USA, Germany and France, 1950 – 2013

image

Source: Source: Cara McDaniel.

Some pander to the great vacation theory of European labour supply. This is the hypothesis of a large increase in the preference for leisure in the European Union member states. That is, mass voluntary unemployment and mass voluntary reductions and labour supply by choice by Europeans. They just decided to work less.

This is not the first outing for the great vacation theory of labour supply. In the late 1970s, Modigliani dismissed the new classical explanation of Lucas and Rapping  (1969) of the U.S. great depression in which the 1930s unemployment was voluntary unemployment  – the great depression was just a great vacation –  with the following remarks:

Sargent (1976) has attempted to remedy this fatal flaw by hypothesizing that the persistent and large fluctuations in unemployment reflect merely corresponding swings in the natural rate itself.

In other words, what happened to the U.S. in the 1930’s was a severe attack of contagious laziness!

I can only say that, despite Sargent’s ingenuity, neither I nor, I expect most others at least of the non-Monetarist persuasion, are quite ready yet. to turn over the field of economic fluctuations to the social psychologist!

As Prescott has pointed out, the USA in the Great Depression and France since the 1970s both had 30% drops in hours worked per adult. That is why Prescott refers to France’s economy as depressed. The reason for the depressed state of the French (and German) economies is taxes, according to Prescott:

Virtually all of the large differences between U.S. labour supply and those of Germany and France are due to differences in tax systems.

Europeans face higher tax rates than Americans, and European tax rates have risen significantly over the past several decades.

Countries with high tax rates devote less time to market work, but more time to home activities, such as cooking and cleaning. The European services sector is much smaller than in the USA.

Time use studies find that lower hours of market work in Europe is entirely offset by higher hours of home production, implying that Europeans do not enjoy more leisure than Americans despite the widespread impression that they do. Europeans did not work less. They worked more on activities that were not taxed.

Post-war reconstruction then Eurosclerosis – Germany, Italy and France 1950-2013

Figure 1: Real GDP per German, Italian and French aged 15-64, converted to 2013 price level with updated 2005 EKS purchasing power parities, 1950-2013

image

Source: Computed from OECD Stat Extract and The Conference Board, Total Database, January 2014, http://www.conference-board.org/economics

Figure 2: Real GDP per German, Italian and French aged 15-64, converted to 2013 price level with updated 2005 EKS purchasing power parities, 1.9 per cent detrended, 1950-2013

image

Source: Computed from OECD Stat Extract and The Conference Board, Total Database, January 2014, http://www.conference-board.org/economics

A flat line in figure 2 means real GDP growth of 1.9% per year, which is trend growth. A rising line means growth that  is higher than trend rate; a falling line means growth at below the trend rate  of 1.9%. 1.9% is the trend rate of growth of the USA in the 20th century. Figure 2 shows that:

  • Germany, Italy and France all boomed until the mid-1970s;
  • the French and German economies went into a long-term decline from that time; and
  • the Italian economy stopped growing at anything more than the trend rate of growth between the mid-1970s and the mid-1990s and then went into a sharp decline that borders on the depression.

Recoveries from recessions across the G-7

The rest of Europe can’t expect Germany to keep bailing them out

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